World Perspectives
wheat

Russian Wheat Price Moves Lower

The consultancy Sovecon this week increased its estimate of the Russian wheat crop to 94.7 MMT. That is 7.6 percent more than USDA's guess at 88 MMT and if realized, it would be nearly 20 MMT larger than Russia’s 2021/22 wheat crop. An astounding level of increase. By contrast, the consultancy Agritel expects the French wheat crop to fall by 5.6 percent this year to 33.44 MMT. FranceAgriMer’s latest estimate calls for a crop of 32.9 MMT due to the adverse impacts of frost, drought and very high temperatures. Agritel also has a higher export estimate at 10.95 MMT. The company’s survey of industry indicates larger wheat exports due to less competition from Ukraine.  The question is whether Russia will present increased...

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Market Commentary: Mixed Volume, Mixed Outcomes

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Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.46/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6125/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, down $1.8 from...

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Oilseed Highlights: Oilseed Demand Slumps while Vegoils Rise

The Market  With just two days left before the January WASDE, the soy complex is trading above week-ago levels, but that fact belies the weakness that has enveloped the market since late November. Skepticism over China’s long-term commitment to U.S. soybean purchases – especial...

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Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.46/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6125/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, down $1.8 from...

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Oilseed Highlights: Oilseed Demand Slumps while Vegoils Rise

The Market  With just two days left before the January WASDE, the soy complex is trading above week-ago levels, but that fact belies the weakness that has enveloped the market since late November. Skepticism over China’s long-term commitment to U.S. soybean purchases – especial...

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Market Commentary: Export Chatter Lifts Soymeal, Soybeans; Weather Worries Boost Wheat

The CBOT renewed its early-week strength at mid-week and turned higher with soybeans and soymeal in the lead. Fresh news was light for the day, but markets responded positively to rumors of export business getting done for soybeans and soymeal, with wheat gaining on an increasingly warm and les...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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