World Perspectives
wheat

Russian Wheat Price Moves Lower

The consultancy Sovecon this week increased its estimate of the Russian wheat crop to 94.7 MMT. That is 7.6 percent more than USDA's guess at 88 MMT and if realized, it would be nearly 20 MMT larger than Russia’s 2021/22 wheat crop. An astounding level of increase. By contrast, the consultancy Agritel expects the French wheat crop to fall by 5.6 percent this year to 33.44 MMT. FranceAgriMer’s latest estimate calls for a crop of 32.9 MMT due to the adverse impacts of frost, drought and very high temperatures. Agritel also has a higher export estimate at 10.95 MMT. The company’s survey of industry indicates larger wheat exports due to less competition from Ukraine.  The question is whether Russia will present increased...

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Market Commentary: War, Crude Oil Still Dominate

The geopolitics of war in Iran are said to now be eclipsing any market focus on next week’s USDA March WASDE report. Volumes were modest in today’s trading, but the message was nonetheless clear – shipping grain and inputs is getting complicated.  Notably, the ratio of De...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.605/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $6.1675/bushel, up $0.33 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $12.0075/bushel, up $0.215 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $317.2/short ton, up $7.9 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East Grain Trade Trends

Somewhat lost in the current discussion over the impacts of the conflict in Iran and the Persian Gulf is the impact on grain trade. The region is not usually at the top of grain market analysts’ thinking when it comes to major demand centers, yet it accounts for significant global grain c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War, Crude Oil Still Dominate

The geopolitics of war in Iran are said to now be eclipsing any market focus on next week’s USDA March WASDE report. Volumes were modest in today’s trading, but the message was nonetheless clear – shipping grain and inputs is getting complicated.  Notably, the ratio of De...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.605/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $6.1675/bushel, up $0.33 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $12.0075/bushel, up $0.215 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $317.2/short ton, up $7.9 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East Grain Trade Trends

Somewhat lost in the current discussion over the impacts of the conflict in Iran and the Persian Gulf is the impact on grain trade. The region is not usually at the top of grain market analysts’ thinking when it comes to major demand centers, yet it accounts for significant global grain c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.535/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8375/bushel, up $0.155 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.7925/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $309.3/short ton, down $0.6 f...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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