World Perspectives
feed-grains wheat

Russia’s Grain Shortfall

Today’s USDA quarterly Grain Stocks report provided the market with a bullish input but there may be another shoe to drop. Russia’s stocks to use ratio for corn and wheat have been dropping for four straight years. Over that timeframe, it is down 64 percent for corn and 48 percent for wheat. Russia has continued to export wheat at low prices despite the tightening supply, but it has increased the export duty on corn by ten-fold, to 2,786.2 rubles ($30)/MT.  Russia has exported aggressively to both earn foreign exchange and build respect from food insecure nations. However, Moscow has concluded that at least when it comes to corn, it needs to cover its own food security needs and prevent domestic food inflation. But wheat a...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bottom Signaled; Beef Attacked

Fund buying is signaling it is the market bottom for grains, because they say so. And beef has hit a market top because President Trump says it has. Of course, it is more complex than that but those are authoritative sources.  The corn market did not wait for such signals, instead rallying...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.225/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.0375/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.195/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $281/short ton, up $4.1 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed But Fruitful Day of Adjustments

Agricultural futures might be called mixed on the day, though that is upbeat by itself. There was a continuation of the bear wheat/bull beef story with a new contract low printed in HRS, and a new contract high in cattle. The corn market continued its rebound story on potential yield declines c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bottom Signaled; Beef Attacked

Fund buying is signaling it is the market bottom for grains, because they say so. And beef has hit a market top because President Trump says it has. Of course, it is more complex than that but those are authoritative sources.  The corn market did not wait for such signals, instead rallying...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.225/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.0375/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.195/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $281/short ton, up $4.1 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed But Fruitful Day of Adjustments

Agricultural futures might be called mixed on the day, though that is upbeat by itself. There was a continuation of the bear wheat/bull beef story with a new contract low printed in HRS, and a new contract high in cattle. The corn market continued its rebound story on potential yield declines c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.025/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.1075/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $276.9/short ton, up $1 from y...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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