World Perspectives
wheat

Russia's Wheat Export Tax

Russia has exploded as a wheat exporter, tripling its sales in just a decade. By contrast, domestic consumption grew some but has been relatively stagnant the past few years. That has because the population has grown at just 0.15 percent per year and is forecast to fall going forward. Sensitive to public resistance to food price increases, the government has been using an export tax to meter how much of the nation’s wheat gets exported. Russia’s wheat stocks-to-use ratio is higher than it has been for six of the past ten years. As in other countries, the contributions to food price inflation are more diverse than just the bulk commodity value. If wheat is on average about 12 percent of the value of a loaf of bread, halving the...

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Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

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GI Chimera; Catch Bees with Honey; AI My Eye

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Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.645/bushel, up $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $0.2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

The CBOT started Wednesday’s overnight trade on a high note with traders returning from the prior day’s risk-off selling and finding support from export-led grain demand. Shortly after the day session began, however, hopes of higher trade for grains quickly evaporated as funds and s...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.645/bushel, up $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $0.2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 12–16 January, 2026 The Russian grains market is slowly but steadily emerging from the extended holiday period. Extreme cold weather is complicating operations, but grain and oilseed receiving and loadings are continuing—albeit with delays—at Russia&rsqu...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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