World Perspectives

Secondary Benefits; Don’t Be Fooled; Killing the Golden Goose

Secondary Benefits There are secondary benefits to legislation recently introduced in the U.S. Congress and backed by major farm organizations. The bill would require USDA to first use the farm-based yields established by the Risk Management Agency in determining payments under the Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) program rather than the survey-based data currently used. Yields used for crop insurance purposes are likely more accurate, but the revised methodology also provides two additional benefits to farm subsidy proponents: 1) it cements the importance of the crop insurance program to overall agricultural support policy; and 2) it strengthens the characterization of the ARC program as “insurance-like” since it depends on ins...

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Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for November 1-7, 2024. Wheat: Net sales of 380,100 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were up 1 percent from the previous week, but down 17 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 301,300 MT were up 27 percent from the previous week and 5 percent...

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Market Commentary: Today was Green but Headwinds for the Week

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.24/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Wheat closed at $5.365/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.985/bushel, up $0.11 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $289.6/short ton, up $2.6 from yesterda...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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