World Perspectives

Shutdown Exports; Killing the Messenger; Checking Out

Shutdown Exports The U.S. government will likely shut down this weekend because some Republicans are trying to leverage more budget discipline and other goals. The overall impact on the economy of a government shutdown is less than the clickbait media is trying to convey, but it does have odd impacts. First, the whole government doesn’t close, just the parts considered non-essential. Monitoring imports for compliance with laws is considered law enforcement and so it is essential. However, agencies monitoring exports are not considered essential and will stop working, causing some exports to stop. This will worsen the trade deficit at some level but it is an incongruent application of what is law enforcement and what is not. &nbs...

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Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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