World Perspectives

Small Ideas; Technical Barriers; Advice to DOGE

Small Ideas U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the objective is to reduce the role of the government. This makes sense considering the explosion in government debt to the point investor Ray Dalio says otherwise there will be a debt crisis in three years.  There are two ways to address debt, reduce spending or increase taxes. There are objections to both approaches: beneficiaries of government programs are decrying spending cuts, and increased taxation can slow investment and the economy.  Secretary Bessent also said a goal is to “rebalance” the economy toward small businesses and consumers. That can be a contradiction. Consumers benefit from efficiency, which often favors scale. The Trump Administration is even...

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Market Commentary: CBOT Falls as Big Crops Get Bigger

The CBOT was mostly bearish on Friday under the primary theme that big crops get bigger. That is true of Brazil’s safrinha production, the outlook for which CONAB raised yesterday, and Argentina’s soybean crop per the Rosario Grains Exchange’s latest estimates. Similarly, whea...

U.S. Agriculture Crisis

U.S. farmers’ export markets were challenging before the trade war, and they are not coming back. It is time for Plan B. The trade agreement still being negotiated with the United Kingdom will supposedly allow U.S. beef producers to fill up to 1.5 percent of the British market. Except the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.435/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.25/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $291.9/short ton, down $4.5 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls as Big Crops Get Bigger

The CBOT was mostly bearish on Friday under the primary theme that big crops get bigger. That is true of Brazil’s safrinha production, the outlook for which CONAB raised yesterday, and Argentina’s soybean crop per the Rosario Grains Exchange’s latest estimates. Similarly, whea...

U.S. Agriculture Crisis

U.S. farmers’ export markets were challenging before the trade war, and they are not coming back. It is time for Plan B. The trade agreement still being negotiated with the United Kingdom will supposedly allow U.S. beef producers to fill up to 1.5 percent of the British market. Except the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.435/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.25/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $291.9/short ton, down $4.5 f...

biofuel

Policy Quick Hits

The following is a rundown of some key issues impacting agriculture: Reconciliation: The reconciliation bill passed through the Agriculture Committee on a party line vote, 29 to 25. All the amendments offered also passed by the same party line vote. The bill would cut the Supplemental Nutrition...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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