World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Smile! Wheat's Still Bullish

As noted last week, WPI is starting a new weekly report on the IV “smile” of nearby corn, soybeans, SRW wheat, and live cattle futures. Our goal is to give you, near the start of the trading week, an idea of how the market believes futures prices will behave in the near future. If you like it this idea and the information below, let us know!  Here are this week’s charts:  Corn Much like last week, the options market appears to be bracing for higher corn prices. The IV on OTM calls approaches 35 percent of higher while OTM puts presently peak at 32 percent IV. Additionally, larger call OI exists for corn options, placing the put/call ratio at 0.75. Near-term fluctuations are likely, but the long-term trend for...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5 – 9 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 Russian analysts from IKRAR increased the wheat production forecast in Russia by 1.3 MMT to reach 83.8 MMT. They attribute the upgrade to rains in the wheat belt of Russia during the first 10 days of May. As a result, they also revis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5 – 9 May 2025 Crop Outlook 2025 Russian analysts from IKRAR increased the wheat production forecast in Russia by 1.3 MMT to reach 83.8 MMT. They attribute the upgrade to rains in the wheat belt of Russia during the first 10 days of May. As a result, they also revis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

Phase II Deal; EU Strategy; Mimicking EU

Phase II Deal U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that a phase-one deal may be a model for trade talks with China. It may be the only model that would help U.S. farmers. Brazil still has a price edge on soybeans, and even a 10 percent tariff is enough to price out U.S. commodities...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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