Milling Wheat The Black Sea wheat market was extremely firm last week with domestic market prices in South Russia $9/MT higher while the FOB market rose $13/MT. Despite the rally, Russian 12.5 percent protein wheat remains the cheapest wheat of similar quality in the world, quoted $20/MT cheaper than French wheat and $25/MT less than German or U.S. HRW on an FOB basis. Considering that Russia will have about 15 MMT less wheat available for export versus last year, Russian prices will have to rally to a premium versus competing origins to ration export demand. The Egyptian GASC purchased 180 KMT of Russian and 60 KMT of Romanian wheat last week at an average price of about $253/MT CNF. The price was about $17 higher versus the price...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: Russia rejected calls for a ceasefire in the Black Sea, including a proposal to halt attacks on civilian shipping that could help restore grain flows from Ukrainian ports. Tyson Foods announced plans to permanently close its Joslin, Illinois, beef processing facili...
We have described the long-term investment climate in crop and livestock production, using data primarily from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The data provided background on the current investment climate and outlook for agricultural capital formation. Our conclusion was that investment...