What You Need to Know Today…

Crush margins are set to pull back after their recent rallies, though U.S. markets will fare better than others. U.S. demand-led strength in soyoil pricing is a key driver of U.S. margin profitability and will remain so into mid-autumn. Soymeal prices are the wildcard in the analysis and are expected to remain relatively steady, though upside risk is demonstrably larger. Brazilian and Argentine crush margins are set to decline sharply over the coming months on weaker soyoil values and rising soybean procurement costs. China’s Dalian-implied crushing margins are expected to decline then stabilize, with weakening soymeal demand from a beleaguered hog sector pressuring values.

Global Crush Margin Fo...