World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 7 – 11 October 2024The world has been watching the 2024 Russian grain harvest forecasts, especially wheat production. The Russian Ministry of Agriculture was not making any sharp moves in one direction or the other, while domestic analysts have revised the 2024 grain crop downwards several times.The latest USDA forecast decreased wheat production forecast in Russia by 1 MMT making it 82 MMT leaving the export forecast unchanged at 48 MMT. Carryover was increased from 6.7 MMT to 7.2 MMT (for reference the carryover of 2023/24 was 11.7 MMT).Finally, Vice Premier Patrushev announced their crop expectations last week saying that the crop will be 130 MMT, 83 MMT of wheat. With different sources forecasting different number...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Caution About Supplies, Confidence in Demand

Although the soy complex and wheat opened lower, there was confidence in the corn number and by late morning most major contracts were in the green, aided by shorts that were selling at the end of the month to book profits. December HRS printed a new contract low today. There was high volume tr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2025/bushel, up $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.3425/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.545/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $289/short ton, up $1.7 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Identifying Mispricing in Ag Futures: Corn, Soybeans Offer Opportunity

Readers will likely be familiar with WPI’s work over the past month or so exploring mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. WPI’s work in this area seeks to identify (for the major agricultural commodities) where along the forward curve current futures prices have the grea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Caution About Supplies, Confidence in Demand

Although the soy complex and wheat opened lower, there was confidence in the corn number and by late morning most major contracts were in the green, aided by shorts that were selling at the end of the month to book profits. December HRS printed a new contract low today. There was high volume tr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2025/bushel, up $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.3425/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.545/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $289/short ton, up $1.7 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Identifying Mispricing in Ag Futures: Corn, Soybeans Offer Opportunity

Readers will likely be familiar with WPI’s work over the past month or so exploring mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. WPI’s work in this area seeks to identify (for the major agricultural commodities) where along the forward curve current futures prices have the grea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Exceeding Expectations, Perhaps on a Thread

Commodity markets opened mostly in the red but managed a turnaround late in the session for corn, beans and wheat. There was not much fundamentally driving the market. Export sales were solid but there have been no new flash sales reports for several days. By contrast, equity markets opened mix...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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