When there have been month-over-month increases in yield and production estimates through October, history suggests that the odds strongly favor a further rise in November. With that background, analysts and traders have once again started the game of guessing what numbers USDA will release next Monday.Voters are finally going to the polls for the 2014 midterm election today, and all of the related punditry will peak tonight as the results are counted and over-analyzed by TV commentators. The pre-result consensus seems tilted slightly in favor of the Republicans capturing the Senate even though the prevailing mood of voters around the country is one of sour dissatisfaction with Democrats, Republicans and Washington DC in general.Dave Juday...