World Perspectives
livestock

Tight Dairy Supplies

After going to four different grocery stores this past weekend looking for heavy cream and nearly coming up empty handed, it is confirmed that U.S. dairy supplies are tight. USDA initially proclaimed higher prices in 2022 due to larger exports, but those are running even with a year ago. Higher butter and cheese exports are offset by lower milk and nonfat milk powder exports. Overall U.S. dairy production is down one-half percent, but demand is strong. Meanwhile, Australia’s dairy production and exports have rebounded from last year’s drought.  Diary-based food inflation hit 15.9 percent in September, versus 13 percent overall for food. U.S. dairy production in 2023 is forecast to rise while fat-based exports decline and s...

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Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.0925/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.3825/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.27/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Aug 25 Soymeal closed at $275.8/short ton, up $0.2...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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