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Tomato Economics

U.S. domestic farm policy critics like U.S. Senator Cory Booker (D-New Jersey) have a point when they note that the Farm Bill encourages the production of commodities for which Americans often over-consume, while mostly ignoring what is under-consumed and known to be healthy – fruits and vegetables. Since 2017, the area cultivated for vegetables has declined by 16.7 percent at the same time the value of vegetable imports has increased by 32 percent.  This may be perfectly fine and reflect comparative advantages. But there has not been any thoughtful investigation. The domestic producers of specialty crops want protection from imports, and there are CVD/AD cases, suspension agreements, and other controls in place. But what do we...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Greenland Tweets Sink Macroeconomic Markets, CBOT and Ags Follow

The CBOT started off in risk-off mode Tuesday as rising U.S./EU tensions and odd dynamics in global macroeconomic markets (the rally in Japanese bond yields, in particular) unnerved investors.  The biggest driver of the risk-off trade was President Trump’s continued – and appar...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2375/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1025/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.53/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.6/short ton, up $1.6...

Greenland: More Tariffs on 1 February

Greenland is heating up in the latest news, and not due to global warming, but rather rising security concerns. President Trump said of Greenland, the semi-autonomous territory of Denmark, that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has been telling Denmark for 20 years that “you h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Greenland Tweets Sink Macroeconomic Markets, CBOT and Ags Follow

The CBOT started off in risk-off mode Tuesday as rising U.S./EU tensions and odd dynamics in global macroeconomic markets (the rally in Japanese bond yields, in particular) unnerved investors.  The biggest driver of the risk-off trade was President Trump’s continued – and appar...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2375/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1025/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.53/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.6/short ton, up $1.6...

Greenland: More Tariffs on 1 February

Greenland is heating up in the latest news, and not due to global warming, but rather rising security concerns. President Trump said of Greenland, the semi-autonomous territory of Denmark, that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has been telling Denmark for 20 years that “you h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed the effects of USDA’s bearish January WADSE as managed money traders expanded short positions across the ag space for the fourth straight week. Funds shed 99,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn accounting for 77,000 c...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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