World Perspectives

Trade Policy Spin; Interstate Trade Barriers

Trade Policy Spin It is an election year, and the Biden Administration is claiming to have opened up $26.7 billion in overseas market access for American farmers. But that carries the same weight with farmers as grocery buyers hearing that food inflation has declined. They are still paying more and farmers are exporting less. Technical changes made by India are used as a specific example of progress and while U.S. agricultural exports are currently running better than last year, they are behind the sales level for 2022. The overall U.S. trade balance with India is worsening as India’s exports grow substantially faster that imports.  USTR has successfully cajoled several trading partners to lower tariffs or reduce barriers to so...

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Argentine Weather Emboldens CBOT Bulls

The CBOT found its way to higher ground on Thursday after an old-school hard opening with no overnight session to guide the market. Argentina’s weather is starting to become more impactful for grain futures as dryness persists into the mid-January forecast, which could disrupt early corn and so...

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Livestock Roundup: Butterfat Boom

As WPI reported on 2 July, USDA released its proposed Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) reforms; the final proposal was released in early November 2024.  This final proposal will now go to producer referenda in each of the 11 FMMO regions. Producers whose milk was pooled in January...

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Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.41/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $9.9725/bushel, up $0.16 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $314.9/short ton, up $13.3 from yes...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Argentine Weather Emboldens CBOT Bulls

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As WPI reported on 2 July, USDA released its proposed Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) reforms; the final proposal was released in early November 2024.  This final proposal will now go to producer referenda in each of the 11 FMMO regions. Producers whose milk was pooled in January...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.5375/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.41/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $9.9725/bushel, up $0.16 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $314.9/short ton, up $13.3 from yes...

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Holiday Schedule

Financial markets will be closed on Wednesday, 25 December for the Christmas holiday. As a result, there will be no Ag Perspectives report on Wednesday. WPI wishes everyone a joyous and safe holiday.WPI will resume operations on Thursday, 26 December. Note that Ag Perspectives will be providing...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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