World Perspectives

Trade War Adjustments; Imports Too!

Trade War Adjustments Back in 1973, the U.S. imposed a soybean export embargo and then export licensing requirements due to short supply concerns. The result was the birth of the Brazilian soybean industry as Japan sought to diversify its suppliers and began investments in South America. Now many countries are adjusting to the trade fight between the U.S. and major soybean buyer. Some of South Africa’s corn area may switch to soybeans, and Ukraine hopes to supply China with corn as a substitute for soymeal. Meanwhile, China is incentivizing its farmers to plant soybeans instead of corn. Regarding American farmers, President Trump has promised, “We’re not going to allow them to be casualties if this trade dispute escalate...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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