World Perspectives

Trade War Endgame; Laudable Reorg; Mixt

Trade War Endgame Starting the trade war was “easy” for Mr. Trump, sustaining it will become more difficult for domestic political reasons. That fact was revealed by this week’s Senate Finance Committee hearing during which its members expressed skepticism about the trade actions already taken, let alone those yet to come. More countries are taking “rebalancing” actions (India and Turkey with bound average duties of 74.4 percent and 50.3 percent, respectively), and this will force the Trump administration to manufacture new leverage if it is to reach its goal of improving the U.S. terms of trade. Peter Coy, et al wrote in Bloomberg Business Week that under game theory, “probing a partner’s weaknes...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.17/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.15/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.8/short ton, down $3.2...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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