Key Takeaways:

The situation in the Arab Gulf is little changed this week, which is to say it is a day-by-day – and sometimes hour-by-hour – judgment call as to what is or will happen. There are some vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, but transits are a fraction of what they were during the ceasefire. There are now more than 700 oil tankers sitting on either side of the SOH. Insurance rates are rising fast and are more frequently unavailable for Gulf transits after Iran’s recent attacks on civilian ships and the Yemen Houthi rebels announced blockade of Saudi Arabia.  Shipping in the Black Sea is becoming perilous as well after both Ukraine and Russia attacked vessels. Ukraine launched drone strikes on Russian...