World Perspectives

Trump’s World

China is set to implement retaliatory tariffs on a variety of U.S. goods starting as soon as today, further intensifying trade tensions between the two economic giants. The new tariffs, ranging from 10 to 15 percent will target American exports such as crude oil, liquefied natural gas, farm equipment, as well as other key products. These measures were announced last week in direct retaliation for new tariffs on Chinese imports, including the 10 percent additional tariff on imported Chinese goods that came into force after the leaders of Mexico and Canada were able to negotiate a 30-day pause on the implementation of 25 percent duties on goods bound for the U.S. Trump declared last week that the fentanyl crisis in America constituted a &ldqu...

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Trade Deficit Shrinks, Fed Cuts Federal Funds Rate at December

The U.S. trade deficit narrowed unexpectedly to $52.8 billion in September, the smallest since mid-2020. The decline in the deficit was due to a large increase in exports, which rose $8.4 billion. Imports were up a more modest $1.9 billion.  The President may see this as a win, as the cor...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Quarterly Grain Balance Sheets

Following the December WASDE report from Tuesday, WPI has updated our corn, wheat, and soybean supply and use models to examine market trends for the rest of MY 2025/26. Current indications for U.S. grain complex point to uneven fundamentals across these crops, particularly in terms of global e...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Low Holiday Cheer

Grain markets traded without conviction today, see-sawing around unchanged and with modest volume. Aggies had WASDE day and outside markets had Fed day, and both events this week were kind of a bust. Some might consider it a positive to lack drama interrupting the holiday period, and that is th...

Trade Deficit Shrinks, Fed Cuts Federal Funds Rate at December

The U.S. trade deficit narrowed unexpectedly to $52.8 billion in September, the smallest since mid-2020. The decline in the deficit was due to a large increase in exports, which rose $8.4 billion. Imports were up a more modest $1.9 billion.  The President may see this as a win, as the cor...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Quarterly Grain Balance Sheets

Following the December WASDE report from Tuesday, WPI has updated our corn, wheat, and soybean supply and use models to examine market trends for the rest of MY 2025/26. Current indications for U.S. grain complex point to uneven fundamentals across these crops, particularly in terms of global e...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Low Holiday Cheer

Grain markets traded without conviction today, see-sawing around unchanged and with modest volume. Aggies had WASDE day and outside markets had Fed day, and both events this week were kind of a bust. Some might consider it a positive to lack drama interrupting the holiday period, and that is th...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: WASDE Livestock

USDA’s World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report was released yesterday. The WASDE forecast corn exports for MY 2025-26 hitting a record high, topping the previous record of last year. The net change in the export forecast from a month ago was 125 million bushels, or a...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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