World Perspectives
wheat

Unnecessary Angst

The markets are nervous over potential impacts from geopolitics, especially the potential actions by Russia in Ukraine. The past is not necessarily prologue but there was little discernable impact when Russia annexed Crimea in late winter of 2014. Wheat production and exports continued to expand in both countries. Ending stocks grew slightly in both Russia and Ukraine, but not in a manner disproportionate to the increase in production and exports. Ideally, if Russia were to take adverse action, sanctions would form some punitive damage on her grain exports. However, most wheat importing countries do not take moral stands against their own economic interests and refuse to buy cheaper food. Russia will most likely price wheat at whatever dis...

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Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Iran’s 2025 wheat production is being hurt by very dry weather. Rainfall up to February 2025 was much below average but did improve in March. However, Iran does have reasonable wheat stocks due to the good 2024 crop and whea...

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Market Commentary: Corn Leads Grains Lower on Fund Selling; Cattle Hit New Highs Again

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Market Commentary: Corn Leads Grains Lower on Fund Selling; Cattle Hit New Highs Again

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Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, down $0.1475 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.3125/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.455/bushel, down $0.125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.5/short ton, down...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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