Last Friday USDA provided a much bigger 1 March quarterly stocks estimate for corn than anyone in the trade expected. The number came in at 270 million bushels (nearly 7 MMT) above the average trade guess, which is one of biggest “misses” ever. 62 percent of those stocks are in farmers’ storage bins. The assumption must be that USDA will increase the 2018/19 corn ending supply estimate by 270 million bushels or at least close to that. Such a huge adjustment means two things to the corn market. First, it takes pressure off the 2019 corn yield. That is equivalent to a 3.2 bushel/acre yield increase or, alternatively, planting another 3 million acres of corn. Wow! Second, the larger-than-expected corn planting estimate was a...
What You Need to Know Today: After a period of limited activity, USDA reported a sizeable 613 KMT in soybean export sales, including 330 KMT to China and 283 KMT to unknown destinations, potentially also China. The purchases represent a meaningful pickup in demand and bring China closer to ful...
Key Takeaways: Consumer spending is a key driver of the U.S. economy, and the latest retail sales data indicate that spending remains robust despite inflation. In September, total retail and food service sales rose more than 6 percent year-over-year, with food service spending up 7 percent and...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
From WPI Consulting
Illuminating the value of technical research
On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.