Along with the November WASDE, USDA released its preliminary long term 10-year baseline forecast. The final projection is released in February each year at the USDA Outlook conference, but a preliminary early release baseline is put together in the fall. Overall, USDA is projecting a 10-year average price for corn of $3.57/bushel and a $9.79/bushel projection for soybean prices. Below are the five-year forecasts.
First of all, the projection – which reflects the current situation – is remarkably bullish given where we were in March, April, and May of this year with COVID-19. The long term forecast is bullish soybeans as shown by the yearly corn to soybean price ratio.
The preliminary soybean outlook has certainly imp...
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...