The tables below show today's USDA report numbers compared to last year's. In general, the numbers were bearish, although not quite as bearish as expected. Corn

USDA did drop the yield to 158 bushels per acre from the 164.9 bushels per acre used in the Outlook Conference numbers. U.S. corn exports are projected to be 1.3 billion bushels. That is probably too small if prices are going to get cheap. A 2 billion-bushel ending supply number is bearish, but not as bearish as many analysts have been talking about. The world corn crop is projected to be a new record, and so will world demand for corn. World ending supplies will increase if we produce a record world crop.

Soybeans

USDA lowered the corn yield but pushed the U.S. soy...