USDA’s Grain Stocks report was slightly bearish corn and soybeans while the stocks and small grains reports were supportive wheat. Currently, December corn futures are down 5 ¼ cents while November soybeans are off 7 ¾ cents. December SRW wheat is up 1 cent while HRW futures are largely unchanged after earlier gains. Corn USDA said 2017/18 stocks as of 1 September totaled 2.14 billion bushels, down 7 percent from last year and above traders’ average expectation of 2.002 billion bushels. On-farm storage totaled 620 million bushels, down 21 percent from last year. The report featured aggressive disappearance, highlighted in the weekly Export Sales report, as the June-August 2018 disappearance tot...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: After a period of limited activity, USDA reported a sizeable 613 KMT in soybean export sales, including 330 KMT to China and 283 KMT to unknown destinations, potentially also China. The purchases represent a meaningful pickup in demand and bring China closer to ful...
Key Takeaways: Consumer spending is a key driver of the U.S. economy, and the latest retail sales data indicate that spending remains robust despite inflation. In September, total retail and food service sales rose more than 6 percent year-over-year, with food service spending up 7 percent and...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...