USDA will release its updated U.S. and world production estimates at 12 p.m. (EDT) Thursday. Those for U.S. corn and soybeans will be larger than in the previous month’s report if for no other reason than USDA will increase planted acreage numbers to match the June planting estimates. Here’s how we see the report. Corn - The June planting estimates showed 1.1 million more acres than reflected in the March planting intentions estimate. That would increase production by about 174 million bushels if USDA doesn’t boost the yield estimate from June’s 174 bushels/acre, which is already the second-highest ever. There are some analysts who believe that estimate will be higher because the weekly ratings have been so good. Ho...
Key Takeaways: The U.S. herd is stabilizing, but growth remains modest. Total goat inventory rose 1 percent in 2026, while meat-goat numbers increased 2 percent, which is not enough to materially reduce import dependence. Domestic slaughter is rising from a low base. Commercial slaughter incre...
What You Need to Know: U.S. fertilizer production is highly concentrated, but concentration alone does not establish that producers are operating as a cartel. Imports introduce competition unevenly: they supply nearly all U.S. potash consumption but play much smaller roles in domestic ammonia...
Given yesterday’s headlines, today’s market action may not be what many expected. The dollar is little changed, crude oil is pulling back and stocks are trading higher. Crude may be the biggest piece of today’s reversal. Saudi Arabia is offering additional crude to Asian buyer...
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Accountability and a comprehensive approach to export programming
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