The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) enters its mandated six-year review on 1 July. The original intent of the review is outlined in Article 34.7, which obligates members to: 

Provide recommendations and decide on appropriate actions. Extend the USMCA for another 16 years and meet again for another review in six years. If the USMCA members do not agree to extend it for another 16 years, the members will then review the agreement annually.

Given the Trump Administration’s aggressive trade policy, we should not expect the review to be a routine assessment. Instead, the July review will likely become a renegotiation of several important trade issues. Furthermore, Trump has on several occasions indicated that withdrawal from th...