World Perspectives

War on Words; Defense Kills Permanence; War Changes Market – But How?

War on Words Autocratic regimes can be dystopian and filled with censorship. Russia’s Vladimir Putin has ordered information sources to not call his assault on Ukraine an “attack,” an “invasion,” or a “war.” Instead, it is to be called a special operation. Using any of the banned descriptors could lead to 15 years in jail. This must have been the fear of USDA analysts in lockup writing today’s WASDE report. They referred to it as “Russia’s recent military action in Ukraine…” They did not completely kowtow to the Russian line, but they kind of did. The USDA/FAS writers of today’s Grain: World Markets and Trade report were a little more daring, which is kind of fu...

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Market Commentary: Mixed But Fruitful Day of Adjustments

Agricultural futures might be called mixed on the day, though that is upbeat by itself. There was a continuation of the bear wheat/bull beef story with a new contract low printed in HRS, and a new contract high in cattle. The corn market continued its rebound story on potential yield declines c...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.025/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.1075/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $276.9/short ton, up $1 from y...

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Livestock Roundup: Quick Hits – Feeder Cattle, Chicken Nuggets, China Hogs, Turkey and U.S. Brazil Trade Talks

Feeder Cattle Hit Record Highs: Feeder cattle contracts are trading at $382.725/cwt, a record high, including adjusted for inflation. The previous peak was $320 in today’s dollars. Futures across the board remain elevated, averaging about $380/cwt, an indication that tight supplies will l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed But Fruitful Day of Adjustments

Agricultural futures might be called mixed on the day, though that is upbeat by itself. There was a continuation of the bear wheat/bull beef story with a new contract low printed in HRS, and a new contract high in cattle. The corn market continued its rebound story on potential yield declines c...

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Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.025/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.1075/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $276.9/short ton, up $1 from y...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Quick Hits – Feeder Cattle, Chicken Nuggets, China Hogs, Turkey and U.S. Brazil Trade Talks

Feeder Cattle Hit Record Highs: Feeder cattle contracts are trading at $382.725/cwt, a record high, including adjusted for inflation. The previous peak was $320 in today’s dollars. Futures across the board remain elevated, averaging about $380/cwt, an indication that tight supplies will l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trump Tweet Can’t Sustain Soyoil Rally; Corn Firms on Yield Concerns

President Trump’s tweet about possibly restricting used cooking oil imports from China and more yield concerns for Midwest corn crops created mixed trade at the CBOT Wednesday. Soyoil, corn, and soymeal all pushed higher in a combination of technical and fundamentally-driven trade with co...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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