World Perspectives

We’ve Already Got More than $3 Trillion Stimulus – Without the Pending Bill

Congress has passed a continuing resolution to keep the government open until 3 December. The Senate has passed a temporary debt ceiling increase which is now headed to the House of Representatives where it wll be voted on Tuesday, 12 October. With that tidyed up, Congress can go back to the $1.2 trillion infrastructure plan (which the Senate has passed and the House is scheduling for a 31 October vote) and the $3.5 trillion Biden American Families Plan stimulus package. But, as concerns over inflation mount, it’s worth taking a closer look at what all the COVID releif to date has done in the economy. The money supply is about $3.8 trillion more than what it would have been if the economy grew at the average pace it has over the...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybean Sales to China Fail to Impress CBOT

The CBOT was almost uniformly lower on Wednesday with traders booking any long profits and likely adding some short spec positions as momentum wanes from the markets. The down day was a little surprising after USDA reported another 12.1 Mbu of soybeans sold to China for 2025/26, but that news h...

Tariff Trouble; UPF Killers; GIs Meet Reality; European Consensus; Takes On to Know One

Tariff Trouble Democrats in the U.S. House and Senate are pushing for votes in the House on the legitimacy of tariffs imposed by President Trump, including his use of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). But Biden Administration Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told a Bloomb...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2975/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.495/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3625/bushel, down $0.1725 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, down $8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybean Sales to China Fail to Impress CBOT

The CBOT was almost uniformly lower on Wednesday with traders booking any long profits and likely adding some short spec positions as momentum wanes from the markets. The down day was a little surprising after USDA reported another 12.1 Mbu of soybeans sold to China for 2025/26, but that news h...

Tariff Trouble; UPF Killers; GIs Meet Reality; European Consensus; Takes On to Know One

Tariff Trouble Democrats in the U.S. House and Senate are pushing for votes in the House on the legitimacy of tariffs imposed by President Trump, including his use of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). But Biden Administration Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told a Bloomb...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2975/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.495/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3625/bushel, down $0.1725 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, down $8...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins strengthened for the fourth straight week and posted one of their largest weekly gains of the year. Margins rose $42/head to $57 as fed cattle prices slipped another $4/cwt and the cutout held near recent highs. The move pushed packer profits to their firmest levels since ea...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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