Comparing the nominal yields of five-year Treasury bonds with the real yields of five-year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) may be one of the best indicators regarding where the U.S. economy is headed.

The Shanghai market closed down again on Wednesday for the fifth straight day. Losses in equity values are now about $5 trillion. China's central bank cut interest rates Tuesday for the fifth time in nine months. The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index stood at 2,926 at the end of trading today, down from as high as nearly 5,200 in late June 2015. This of course has had repercussions on equity markets around the world. After a major correction earlier this week, the U.S. stock market proved the old adage that the best cur...