World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

What Spreads and Basis Are Saying About Soybean Exports

The government shutdown has entered its tenth day, leaving the grain markets without two weeks of export data. Fortunately, the USDA AMS and FGIS continue to publish the weekly Export Inspections report, leaving the grain industry not totally blind to exports. Even so, that report covers only a fraction of total export activity, forcing traders to rely on alternative indicators to gauge demand. Basis levels and spreads — both futures and Gulf-PNW differentials — now offer the markets some of the best clues to gauge export performance. In that light, WPI examines what these non-USDA data sources suggest about current grain flows. Across the U.S., cash soybean basis levels are firming in line with typical seasonal patterns, but th...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.13/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.985/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0675/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275/short ton, down $1.9 f...

Reconciliation Bill Increases Crop Payments

The reconciliation bill signed into law on 4 July, aka the One Big Beautiful Bill, increased statutory reference prices under the Agricultural Risk Payments (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs and made some changes to the effective reference prices (ERP) which are used to calculate pay...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk markets are waiting to see how rates will react now that China’s Golden Week and South Korea’s holidays are both over. The Golden Week celebrations ended on Wednesday and, so far, dry bulk rates have not seen much upward movement. Panamax and Capesize vessels are slightly f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.13/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.985/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0675/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275/short ton, down $1.9 f...

Reconciliation Bill Increases Crop Payments

The reconciliation bill signed into law on 4 July, aka the One Big Beautiful Bill, increased statutory reference prices under the Agricultural Risk Payments (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs and made some changes to the effective reference prices (ERP) which are used to calculate pay...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk markets are waiting to see how rates will react now that China’s Golden Week and South Korea’s holidays are both over. The Golden Week celebrations ended on Wednesday and, so far, dry bulk rates have not seen much upward movement. Panamax and Capesize vessels are slightly f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Chop and Drop

Markets continue to chop around looking for some determinant of direction. In the absence of official reports, yesterday’s firmer PNW soybean basis levels provided a brief uplift but that faltered today. China gets mentioned as a possible source of the phantom demand but that seems politi...

Image
From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up