World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat Over-Supported

Analysts see a 20 percent (-4 MMT) downgrade in Australia’s wheat production possibly in this week’s WASDE report, and rising expectations that Russia’s production may be off a bit. Wheat prices have been firming on the board as a result. Still, global stocks are large. The stocks to use ratio is a standard metric for considering the value of wheat and while they correlate, they are not perfect.  There tends to be an over-reaction in price or tail effect when stocks look to be tighter, as in 2007 and 2012 (see graph below). If the same over-reaction were to occur when stocks are larger than deemed necessary, the current price would be lower than it is currently. However, there is always a stronger reaction to fear of...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.37/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.5675/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4925/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $292.2/short ton, up $1.4 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

Usually, one discusses bears - not bulls - emerging from hibernation, but the somewhat discongruous title of today's report is an accurate image of Wednesday's market activity. The CBOT turned sharply higher at mid-week with corn, the soy complex, wheat, and livestock futures all posting strong...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.64/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.48/bushel, up $0.2075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $290.8/short ton, up $3.2 from yester...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.37/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.5675/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4925/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $292.2/short ton, up $1.4 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

Usually, one discusses bears - not bulls - emerging from hibernation, but the somewhat discongruous title of today's report is an accurate image of Wednesday's market activity. The CBOT turned sharply higher at mid-week with corn, the soy complex, wheat, and livestock futures all posting strong...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.64/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.48/bushel, up $0.2075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $290.8/short ton, up $3.2 from yester...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 2 July)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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