World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Wheat – Part II

How great have world wheat crops been? Russia, Ukraine, China, India and Canada have all had record yields in at least two of the last three years. However, the outlook for the world's 2015 crop may be different.This is wheat week, as is evident by Monday's analysis and today's. Wheat has become my focus this week for two reasons:

The world wheat outlook is changing (at least in my opinion). I am speaking at the International Association of Operative Millers (IAOM) meeting in Cape Town tomorrow.

As I wrote on Monday, the world has produced consecutive record wheat crops that are both well in excess of 700 MMT. The previous record was approximately 660 MMT. High wheat prices have brought more wheat acres around the world, and producer...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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