World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat Predator to Protectionist

Back in January, U.S. wheat growers were demanding that USTR file a WTO case against India for exceeding its de minimis limit of subsidies capped at 10 percent of the value of wheat production. The demand was presaged by a U.S. government counternotification to the WTO that New Delhi had substantially underreported its subsidies for wheat. In fact, up to half the value of the wheat crop was subsidized and new fertilizer subsidies were being introduced.  Then Russia invaded Ukraine and the supply of the world’s most popular food grain was threatened. Those concerned about food security looked optimistically to India’s impending bumper crop of wheat. Indian officials predicted exports in FY 2022/23 (1 April to 31 March) woul...

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Market Commentary: General Equilibrium with Weather and War

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2026 Outlook: Market Home Runs Unlikely, Use Risk Management to Stay at Bat This Year

With the spring planting effort just around the corner, producers and traders are starting to get a handle on the outlook for the coming marketing year. That outlook suffered a bit of a shock following the January WASDE report, as USDA reiterated the large-supply narrative for U.S. and world gr...

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Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report for January will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 96.8 percent of last year, with the range of estimates between 96 and 97.6 percent of 1 January 2024. Those estimates imply...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: General Equilibrium with Weather and War

Outside markets continued their reversal higher following the rescission of President Trump’s tariff threats against Europe. Ukraine’s grain exports are stymied by Russian attacks, with both sides seemingly inching forward on talks, but a survey of former diplomats shows 80 percent...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

2026 Outlook: Market Home Runs Unlikely, Use Risk Management to Stay at Bat This Year

With the spring planting effort just around the corner, producers and traders are starting to get a handle on the outlook for the coming marketing year. That outlook suffered a bit of a shock following the January WASDE report, as USDA reiterated the large-supply narrative for U.S. and world gr...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report for January will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 96.8 percent of last year, with the range of estimates between 96 and 97.6 percent of 1 January 2024. Those estimates imply...

Transportation and Export Report - January 22, 2026

WPI is pleased to release the third week of the Transportation and Export Report, a weekly industry publication previously produced by ocean freight specialist Jay O’Neil. This report, which WPI recently acquired, will strengthen WPI’s coverage of global ocean freight markets by bui...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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