World Perspectives
wheat

When Price is a Poor Indicator

Few markets are as distorted as those involving agriculture. Governments typically impose higher tariffs on food to support domestic production even when it is at the expense of consumer welfare. Some governments will even starve their own people during wars or due to geopolitical objectives. Additionally, food is substitutable and so if wheat is expensive there may be a switch to rice or some other lower priced grain. Consequently, price is not always a good indicator of trade opportunities.  For example, in Turkey the producer price of wheat is the equivalent of $199.60/MT and the country imports the equivalent of 11.8 MT/per capita of wheat. Meanwhile, in Oman the local value of wheat is a whopping $929.80/MT and yet imports are le...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pre-Weekend Bounce on a Mixed Week

Outside markets continued their downbeat on Friday but ag futures had a few recoveries from yesterday’s trouncing.  Corn closed lower for the day and the week.  The soy complex closed optimistically for the day but had a mixed week. Winter wheat closed lower on the day and the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2725/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2775/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.17/bushel, up $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $317.1/short ton, up $4.4 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Balance Sheet Forecasts

Ahead of next week’s USDA’s Crop Production and WASDE reports, WPI offers our latest projections for the corn, soybean, and wheat balance sheets. The key findings from this effort are that corn and soybean supplies are set to expand on upward yield revisions. Too, demand for corn an...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pre-Weekend Bounce on a Mixed Week

Outside markets continued their downbeat on Friday but ag futures had a few recoveries from yesterday’s trouncing.  Corn closed lower for the day and the week.  The soy complex closed optimistically for the day but had a mixed week. Winter wheat closed lower on the day and the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2725/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2775/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.17/bushel, up $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $317.1/short ton, up $4.4 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Balance Sheet Forecasts

Ahead of next week’s USDA’s Crop Production and WASDE reports, WPI offers our latest projections for the corn, soybean, and wheat balance sheets. The key findings from this effort are that corn and soybean supplies are set to expand on upward yield revisions. Too, demand for corn an...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk freight markets were quiet this past week and continued the trend that has been present since mid-October. The quiet trade let rates drift lower with disappointment about the slow appearance of Chinese demand weighing on market sentiment. The U.S.-China trade deal was thought to be lik...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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