World Perspectives
wheat

When Price is a Poor Indicator

Few markets are as distorted as those involving agriculture. Governments typically impose higher tariffs on food to support domestic production even when it is at the expense of consumer welfare. Some governments will even starve their own people during wars or due to geopolitical objectives. Additionally, food is substitutable and so if wheat is expensive there may be a switch to rice or some other lower priced grain. Consequently, price is not always a good indicator of trade opportunities.  For example, in Turkey the producer price of wheat is the equivalent of $199.60/MT and the country imports the equivalent of 11.8 MT/per capita of wheat. Meanwhile, in Oman the local value of wheat is a whopping $929.80/MT and yet imports are le...

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Market Commentary: No Raucous End to the Week

With no new input on fundamentals, traders passively went through the day making only minor changes. Monday’s crop progress report will provide some input, and especially focus on the May 12 WASDE. It will be the first keen look at the balance sheets for MY 2025/26.  It was the fifth...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Crush Margin Outlook

U.S. soybean processing margins have seen considerable volatility over the past month as multiple fundamental factors upended global oilseed and product prices. The most obvious influence was the recent trade war and tit-for-tat escalation in tariffs between the U.S. and, which was exacerbated...

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Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.855/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.45/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5925/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $298.5/short ton, up $1.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: No Raucous End to the Week

With no new input on fundamentals, traders passively went through the day making only minor changes. Monday’s crop progress report will provide some input, and especially focus on the May 12 WASDE. It will be the first keen look at the balance sheets for MY 2025/26.  It was the fifth...

soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Crush Margin Outlook

U.S. soybean processing margins have seen considerable volatility over the past month as multiple fundamental factors upended global oilseed and product prices. The most obvious influence was the recent trade war and tit-for-tat escalation in tariffs between the U.S. and, which was exacerbated...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.855/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.45/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5925/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $298.5/short ton, up $1.8 from...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 25 April)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 25 April 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk markets turned higher this week as buyers booked May-June cargoes after the USTR said the 301 port fees against Chinese vessels will not start until October. Shipping lines remain reluc...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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