World Perspectives

Will California’s Gasoline Motor Ban Eliminate One Third of National Gas and Ethanol Demand?

Last week, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) finalized a rule that will outlaw the sale of gas-fueled cars by 2035. The plan is phased in requiring the auto fleet to be no more than 65 percent gasoline powered cars by 2026 and no more than 32 percent by 2030 before the 2035 ban. This plan, when and if fully implemented, would have an enormous impact on ethanol demand. Under the federal Clean Air Act (CAA), this has the ultimate potential to spread among states and reduce up to 44.545 billion gallons of motor gasoline demand, or more than 32 percent of the total national gasoline use, and impact about 37 percent of all new automobile and light truck sales. Assuming this lost motor gasoline was all to be blended at E10, the impact on...

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Market Commentary: Big Nothingburger

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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