Key Takeaways:
WPI’s 2025/26 corn export models continue to reflect strong international demand and put the total marketing year volume slightly above USDA’s estimates. Strong old crop corn exports are offset by weaker feed and residual use, leaving ending stocks slightly elevated. New crop corn supplies are forecast below USDA’s July estimates while our demand outlook is similarly reduced, leaving ending stocks very similar to 2025/26 levels and suggesting forward pricing stability. The U.S. 2025/26 soybean balance sheet has potential, in WPI’s view, to loosen a bit in the upcoming WASDE, though the current price rally will boost the farm-gate average price. The new crop soybean outlook is bifurcated into two...
What You Need to Know Today: Traders are increasingly focused on next Wednesday’s August WASDE report, with corn and soybean yield estimates expected to drive the next major move in grain markets. Recent crop condition declines and late-July heat have increased uncertainty around USDA&rs...
Yesterday the Senate Agriculture Committee held its markup of the “skinny” farm bill, and it was derailed over Democratic opposition to plans for imposing food stamp costs on state governments. The Democrats pushed back on a provision that required states to pick up a larger share o...
Last week we reviewed an overlooked measure: agricultural productive capital. Using some Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) data, we developed an index of gross capital investment, which showed a major investment surge in agricultural equipment purchases in 2012–2014. Farm investments peak...
