World Perspectives

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk markets were quiet this week with the bullish momentum of the past few weeks fading and allowing values to slip lower. September is usually a lackluster month for freight markets as shippers await the North American grain harvest. The lack of Chinese buying of American soybeans is notable this year and PNW vessel lineups are sharply reduced and export demand is badly needed. The PNW/Gulf export spreads are trying hard to incentivize movement from the PNW. On a C&F basis, corn offers from the PNW (including FOB prices and ocean freight rates) are $30/MT cheaper than the Gulf at present, which is the largest difference since late 2023. 

Jay O’Neil is reporting that the Bangladesh wheat trade from the Texas Gulf was fi...

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Market Commentary: Easing But Not Ending Novelty and Risk

There were more modest volumes trading in today’s session, perhaps reflecting growing resilience and circumspection about geopolitical uncertainties. The trade has had an ample opportunity to react to the modest changes in USDA’s March WASDE report, and there is still plenty of expe...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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