World Perspectives
wheat

WPI Wheat Outlook: 2025/26 Prices to Firm After Q1 Weakness

With the June Grain Stocks report now in the rear-view mirror and having offered USDA’s somewhat final (there is always the possibility of revisions) assessment of ending stocks for the 2024/25 crop, WPI offers the following outlook for the U.S. and global wheat markets. We specifically focus here on forecasting the quarterly wheat balance sheet and quarterly ending stocks, which have a strong correlation to the futures and cash price at the end of each quarter. Briefly, our outlook calls for a weaker pricing environment in Q1, followed by steady flat price and basis improvement that should offer substantial returns to storage.  To start with, WPI’s 2025/26 balance sheet forecast is a little more bearish than USDA’s l...

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FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 March)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here. Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “How To”...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fundamentals in the Backseat; Conflict Impacts Driving Markets

Four days into the U.S.-Iran conflict, it is becoming apparent that the conflict will last longer than a few days, and impacts could be more widespread than expected. That sentiment drove macroeconomic and commodity futures markets on Tuesday, which meant risk-off trading in the macro sector an...

Schumer Planning a Bill to Force Divestiture in Meat Industry

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) is currently seeking co-sponsors for a bill he will introduce as early as Thursday of this week, the Family Grocer and Farmer Relief Act. The plan promises to “break up dominant meatpackers, rein in foreign-controlled corporate giants, and use...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 4 March)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here. Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “How To”...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fundamentals in the Backseat; Conflict Impacts Driving Markets

Four days into the U.S.-Iran conflict, it is becoming apparent that the conflict will last longer than a few days, and impacts could be more widespread than expected. That sentiment drove macroeconomic and commodity futures markets on Tuesday, which meant risk-off trading in the macro sector an...

Schumer Planning a Bill to Force Divestiture in Meat Industry

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) is currently seeking co-sponsors for a bill he will introduce as early as Thursday of this week, the Family Grocer and Farmer Relief Act. The plan promises to “break up dominant meatpackers, rein in foreign-controlled corporate giants, and use...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.465/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.74/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.705/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $314.7/short ton, up $1.8 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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