Now that the WASDE has come and gone, it’s time for the commodity market analyst community to argue about why USDA’s projections are wrong and what the world will actually look like over the next marketing year. WPI is loath to miss this monthly festival of forecasting, so we offer our thoughts below. Before that, however, we note that while we may have different forecasts than USDA, we greatly appreciate their efforts and readily acknowledge that the entire agricultural industry is better off because of their work. Consequently, rather than offer these thoughts as evidence USDA is “wrong”, we simply throw our predictive hat into the ring alongside USDA’s work and hope you find our results and discussion useful...
The corn and soy complex closed higher, with the wheat market mixed, as winter wheat closed up but spring wheat and livestock ended lower. Part of the strength for corn and soybeans may have been a weather premium, as crop planting has started out fast but warm weather has been slow to develop...
Real GDP grew at a 2 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2026, slightly below the consensus expectation of 2.3 percent but above the 0.5 percent growth in Q4 2025. The GDP number matches the average annualized pace of growth since the peak back in late 2007, right before the Financial P...
Reflect for a moment on what you eat. There is a lot of advice out there in the ether about what you should eat, but really, what do you currently eat and how much? The good people at the USDA have some data for you, to help you answer that question. USDA says that we eat quite a bit of meat. L...
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