World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds

WPI’s Post-WASDE Quarterly Corn, Soy Outlook

Now that the WASDE has come and gone, it’s time for the commodity market analyst community to argue about why USDA’s projections are wrong and what the world will actually look like over the next marketing year. WPI is loath to miss this monthly festival of forecasting, so we offer our thoughts below. Before that, however, we note that while we may have different forecasts than USDA, we greatly appreciate their efforts and readily acknowledge that the entire agricultural industry is better off because of their work. Consequently, rather than offer these thoughts as evidence USDA is “wrong”, we simply throw our predictive hat into the ring alongside USDA’s work and hope you find our results and discussion useful...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather, Strong Dollar; Cattle Surge on Inventory Numbers

The CBOT turned lower to start the week with some of the profit-taking that defined Friday’s end-of-month trade continuing into the first day of February. Also pressuring grain futures was an improved forecast for Argentina, a surge in the U.S. dollar, and sharply lower energy markets. Th...

India’s Catbird Seat; Targeting Cuba; Good and Bad GMOs

India’s Catbird Seat China is a state-run economy with formidable output, utilizing abundant, lower-cost labor. India is a democracy with a massive low-cost labor pool and countless restrictions on imports. The EU and now the U.S. have completed very different trade agreements with India,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2575/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2775/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6025/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $294.5/short ton, up $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather, Strong Dollar; Cattle Surge on Inventory Numbers

The CBOT turned lower to start the week with some of the profit-taking that defined Friday’s end-of-month trade continuing into the first day of February. Also pressuring grain futures was an improved forecast for Argentina, a surge in the U.S. dollar, and sharply lower energy markets. Th...

India’s Catbird Seat; Targeting Cuba; Good and Bad GMOs

India’s Catbird Seat China is a state-run economy with formidable output, utilizing abundant, lower-cost labor. India is a democracy with a massive low-cost labor pool and countless restrictions on imports. The EU and now the U.S. have completed very different trade agreements with India,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2575/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2775/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6025/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $294.5/short ton, up $0...

livestock

Meat Producer Price Index

Wholesale meat prices fell across the board in December, seasonally adjusted, according to Producer Price Index (PPI) data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The overall PPI for final demand, which measures the end stage of production, rose 0.5 percent last month, driven by high...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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