Historical articles are made available for reference only.
PM Post - Meal Drags
THE OPEN Nov beans: 5 higher Dec meal: .50 lower Dec soyoil: 35 higher Dec corn: 1 higher Dec wheat: 1 higher The markets opened as called with further strength as traders lifted shorts in beans on the back of a continuing strong soyoil performance. Grains we...
AM Outlook - Demand Day
GOOD MORNING, Prices were higher at the start of the PM session with beans and soyoil in the lead to the upside. Global vegoil prices remain lock-step in the plus column as energies work to new highs. Canola prices are once again sharply higher on poor Canadian weather. Matif/Canada...
Technical Views - The Upshot
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 1.36c/bu while oilshare trades to new highs at 49.47%. Bean spreads are weaker as November contracts continue to roll forward. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 11c to 11 1/2c, while Nov 21/22 trades from 1 3/4c to 6 3/4c carry. Nov/March bean spread t...
PM Post - Buy Wheat, Sell Corn
THE OPEN November beans: 3 lower December meal: 1.30 lower December soyoil: 25 higher December corn: 2 lower December wheat: 3 lower The markets were called to open higher but funds came out as sellers. Funds continue to adjust positions heading into the October 12 WASDE...
AM Outlook - Trends Intact
GOOD MORNING, Prices opened close to home, higher for soy with some light profit-taking in wheat. All markets are higher heading into the close led by wheat. Minneapolis wheat trades into contract highs, and oats have traded into all-time record highs. Matif wheat made n...
PM Post - Eyeing Next WASDE
THE OPEN November beans: 1 higher December meal: .30 higher December soyoil: 50 pts higher December corn: 3 higher December wheat: 6 higher The markets opened as expected but found selling and a choppy trade. Energies found profit-taking which impacted soyoil...
AM Outlook - Congestive, Constructive, Bearish, Friendly
GOOD MORNING, Prices opened fairly close to home with wheat again the firm trade out, and all else mixed to slightly lower. During the PM session, prices firmed around the board led by soyoil. Egypt is in for wheat, and we will see what origin they purchase. Meal is tryi...
Technical Views - Rebound Higher
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 1.34c/bu, new highs, while oilshare trades 48.80%. Dec/March corn trades from 8c to 8 1/2c carry while the Dec 21/22 inverse trades from 7 1/2c to 5c. Dec/March wheat trades from 12 1/2c to new lows of 13c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 2.12c dow...
PM Post - Soyoil Drives; Grains Relax
THE OPEN November beans: 1/4 higher Deceme meal: 2.00 lower December soyoil: 72 higher December corn: 3 1/2 lower December wheat: 6 1/2 lower It was a bit of turn-around Tuesday as bean prices put in a reversal trade from the lows. Of note was an adjust...
Technical Views - Sliding
SPREADS Dec crush trades higher to 1.28c/bu while oilshare firms up to 47.54%. Dec/March corn trades out to 9c from 8 1/2c. Dec 21/22 inverse trades down to 5 1/4C from 7 3/4c. Dec/March wheat widens out to 12c from 11 3/4c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 2.18 1/2c to 2.08 3...
AM Outlook - Macro Pressures
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning, lower for everything but soyoil. Soyoil futures followed a strong performance by palm, which jumped to new contract highs, and firmer crude oil which trades closer to the $80/barrel mark. Oilshare is soaring, as Egypt comes to tender for...
PM Post - Good Inspections
THE OPEN November beans: 7 lower December meal: 1.40 lower December soyoil: 15 higher December corn: 3/4 lower December wheat: 6 higher The markets opened with new highs in wheat helping corn to stabilize, with soyoil futures firmer than expected. Oilshare returns...
AM Outlook - Grains Over Beans
GOOD MORNING, Prices started the PM session lower with corn prices slowly recovering led by wheat. Harvest proceeds forward as trading volumes are light. China is on holiday this week for Golden Week, which will add to fund control. Egypt announced an October 5 deadline...
Technical Views - Mostly Sideways
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 1.22c/bu while oilshare trades at 47.24%. Dec/March corn trades 8 1/4c to 8 1/2c, Dec 21/22 inverse trades down to 6c from 9 1/4c. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 9 3/4c to 10 1/4c while the Nov 21/22 inverse falls to 2 3/4c from 7 3/4c. Nov/Ma...
PM Post - Buy Grains/Sell Soy
THE OPEN November beans: 2 lower December meal: 1.60 higher December soyoil: 12 lower December corn: 6 higher December wheat: 12 higher The markets opened as called with corn prices rebounding along with strong wheat. Buy grains/sell soy and a small adjustment in oilshar...
Technical Views - Post-Report Adjustments
SPREADS Dec crush trades higher to 1.11c/bu, which will incentivize crushers to do all they can. Oilshare trades higher to 47.0%. Dec/March corn trades from 7 1/4c to 8 1/4c while Dec 21/22 trades from 13 1/4c down to 11 1/4c. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 9 1/2c to 10c. Nov...
AM Outlook - Two Potential Plays
GOOD MORNING, Prices for the soy complex are mixed, with beans lower, products trading both sides. Oilshare is seeing some profit-taking on the back of lower palm and crude. Grains are mixed with wheat higher to begin the session, but all turn positive by the end of the...
PM Post - Post-Report Adjustments
THE OPEN Nov beans: 4 higher Dec meal: 1.60 lower Dec soyoil: 90 higher Dec corn: 4 higher Dec wheat: 9 higher The markets opened as called but once again put in a good rally as this is month's end/quarter, first notice day for October, and position-squaring in front of...
AM Outlook - Bears are Watching
GOOD MORNING, The markets continue to put on good rallies. Features overnight include higher oilshare and soyoil strength, (on the back of strong palm prices), which helped beans to trade firm. There could be end-of-month short-covering in beans, as well as buying at perceived marke...
Technical Views - Mostly Firm
SPREADS Dec crush trades higher to 1.03c/bu while oilshare trades firmer as well to 46.20%. Dec/March corn trades from 7 3/4c carry to 8c. Dec 21/22 corn inverse trades from 21c to 18 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 12c to 12 1/4c, new lows. Dec wheat/corn trades...
PM Post - Up Leveling
THE OPEN Nov beans: 2 higher Dec meal: .20 higher Dec soyoil: 32 higher Dec corn: 3 higher Dec wheat: 7 higher The markets opened as called with the soy complex trending weaker after the open as grains stood its ground. The lack of business announcement...
AM Outlook - "V" is for Volatility
GOOD MORNING, Prices were mixed overnight but gradually turned higher led by wheat, as traders seem more pre-occupied by what is going on in outside markets such as energies and stocks than Ags. Funds hold a slight short in wheat but could be switching to long into the report tomorr...
Technical Views - Leveling Up
SPREADS Dec crush trades 1.03c/bu while oilshare is steady at 45.78%. Dec/March corn trades out to 8 1/4c from 7 3/4c while the Dec 21/22 inverse falls further to 15 1/2c from 19 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 11 1/2c to 12 1/2c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.73 1/2c t...
PM Post - Macros Prompt Fund Selling
THE OPEN Nov beans: 5 3/4 lower Dec meal: 1.40 lower Dec soyoil: 15 lower Dec corn: 1/2 lower Dec wheat: 1 higher The markets opened as expected but the soy complex found new selling after the open which drove beans lower and grains off the new highs traded. Storie...
Technical Views - Weight of the Soy Complex
SPREADS Dec crush trades up to 1.00c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.98%. Spreads trade from 7 1/2c to 7 3/4c for Dec/March, while Dec 21/22 inverse trades from a low of 19 3/4c to 22 1/2c. Dec /March wheat widens out to 12c from 11 1/2c. Dec wheat/corn trades down to 1.79 1/2c...
AM Outlook - Oil is the Big Kahuna
GOOD MORNING, The markets have put in a good rally as we head into the Sep. 1 Quarterly Stocks report. Corn rallied on any number of items, including rumors of possible Chinese inquiries, higher energies, unwinding of previous buy wheat/sell corn trade, and better stochastics that e...
PM Post - Outside Money Boost
THE OPEN Nov beans: 2 higher Dec meal: 2.00 higher Dec soyoil: 50 lower Dec corn: 1/2 lower Dec wheat: 1 lower The markets opened as called but corn prices turned higher as new money flows seemed to head into commodities on the back of comments from Goldman Sachs,...
Technical Views - Sideways Range-bound
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 93.70c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.51%. Spreads are firmer with Dec/March corn trading from 7 1/2c to 7 3/4c, while Dec 21/22 inverse trades from 21 3/4c to 20 3/4c. Dec/March wheat carry is slightly wider trading from 11c to 11 1/4c. Dec wheat/c...
AM Outlook - Bearish Tone
GOOD MORNING, Prices opened on a mixed note overnight, higher beans and wheat, lower corn. Weather is wide open for harvest. Soyoil futures opened lower vs. meal, and the EPA did not publish any biofuel mandate guidance as rumored last Friday. Beans continue to have a bi...
PM Post - Risk-off, Profit-taking, Position-leveling
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 lower Dec meal: .20 lower Dec soyoil: 5 lower Dec corn: 1 lower Dec wheat: 1/2 lower The markets opened lower on a cautious air as headlines from China to the EPA can hit anytime and send prices in the opposite direction. Traders are watching outside mark...
Technical Views - Round We Go
SPREADS Dec crush trades up to 91.20c/bu while oilshare trades higher to 45.55%. Dec/March trades from 7 1/2c to 8c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 24c inverse to 21 3/4. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.92c to 1.87 3/4c. Dec /March wheat trades from 10 1/2c to 11c. ...
Am Outlook - Notable Stories
GOOD MORNING, Prices were mixed in the evening, higher for beans and soyoil with corn struggling and all turning in the red by the AM hour. Soyoil prices are proceeding with caution as some expect an EPA story about biofuels. The rumors are that the EPA may finally release two years...
PM Post - As Called
THE OPEN Nov beans: 2 higher Dec meal: 1.10 lower Dec soyoil: 40 higher Dec corn: 2 lower Dec wheat: 4 higher The markets opened as called with prices continuing to wobble at first, only to find some tech strength on the back of strong wheat. A sale of corn w...
AM Outlooked - Mixed Day
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed with wheat and soyoil leading the way in strength. The PM session featured more congestion trade as harvest rolls on and funds continue the process of positioning in front of the September 30 Quarterly Stocks report. Helping to steady the markets were...
Technical Views - Corn/Soymeal Lower
SPREADS Dec oilshare trades to 45.20% while crush trades up to 89.85c. Dec/March corn narrows into 7 1/4c from 7 1/2c. Dec 21/22 trades from 24 1/2c inverse down to 22 3/4c. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 8 3/4c out to 9 1/2c, while the Nov 21/22 trades from 36 1/4c inverse do...
AM Outlook - Mixed
GOOD MORNING, Prices started the evening on a tentative note, but beans, wheat, and soyoil prices rallied into the morning hours taking corn along with it. Oilshare has a bit of a comeback with a nice rally back to soyoil. Higher palm, canola, and crude stabilizes the soyoil chart,...
Technical Views - Upside Follow-through
SPREADS Dec crush is 88.65% with oilshare at 44.83%. Spreads are wider with Dec/March corn trading from 7 /34c to 8 1/2c carry, while Dec 21/Dec 22 trades from 23 1/2c to 18 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 10 3/4c to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.77 3/4c to 1.76c. ...
PM Post - Loss of Upside Steam
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 higher Dec meal: 1.30 higher Dec soyoil: 15 higher Dec corn: 1 lower Dec wheat: 4 lower Prices opened as called but oilshare quickly found more selling pressure as traders bot meal/sold soy oil. The markets continued to find...
Technical Views - Soy to Lead
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 89c while oilshare trades to 44.76%. Dec/March corn carry trades from 8c to 8 1/4c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 20c inverse to 19c. Dec /March wheat trades from 10 3/4c to 11c carry. Dec wheat/corn trades 1.76 1/2c. Nov/Jan trades from 9c to 9...
AM Outlook - Still Awaiting Upside Reversal
GOOD MORNING, Prices overnight continue to trend lower for grains, while attempting to put in some stabilization trade for soyoil and beans. Outside markets are showing a recovery from yesterday's nose-dive, with crude up which is supporting soyoil futures. Beans are also seei...
PM Post - Beans Beaten Worst
THE OPEN Nov beans: 17 lower Dec meal: 2.80 lower Dec soyoil: 108 pts lower Dec corn: 11 lower Dec wheat: 10 lower The markets opened into lower prices due to weight from outside markets, which included sharply lower stocks, weaker energies, and a firmer US dollar...
AM Outlook - Exiting Some Longs
GOOD MORNING, Prices are lower across the board on more fund selling as weather moving forward continues to favor a good pace of harvest. Outside markets are lower, so there seems to be a macro-influence here along with harvest pressure. Crude oil prices are lower as world stock mar...
Technical Views - Retrace Lower
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 88c/bu while oilshare trades at 45.0%. Dec/March corn trades out to 8c from 7c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 23 1/2c carry to 20 3/4c. Dec/March wheat carry trades from 10 1/2c to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.86 1/4c to 1.83c. Nov/Jan bean...
PM Post - Macro Sell-off
THE OPEN Nov beans: 10 lower Dec meal; 2.30 lower Dec soyoil: 52 lower Dec corn: 2 1/2 lower Dec wheat: 3 3/4 lower The markets opened as called but quickly moved lower as funds turned sellers into an open harvest weekend. Most commodities outside grain...
AM Outlook - Moving Lower
GOOD MORNING, The markets were lower overnight as we cap off a week that contained a rally, and will end with good harvest weather across the heart of the Midwest. Soyoil futures encountered its ups and downs, but it was mostly lower yesterday on the back of weaker energies and digestion...
Technical Views - Lower Range Profit-tacking
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 86c/bu while oilshare trades at 45.44%. Dec/March corn trades from 7 1/2c to 7 3/4c, while Dec 21/Dec 22 trades from 26c inverses to 24 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 10 1/2c carry to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.99 1/2c down to 1.84c...
PM Post - Choppy but Constructive
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 higher Dec meal; 2.70 higher Dec soyoil: 34 lower Dec corn: 1 1/2 higher Dec wheat: 3 1/2 lower The markets opened as expected with more strength in bean and meal prices while soyoil and wheat prices struggled. Price action was choppy as some bulls took p...
Technical Views - Ownership
SPREADS Crush trades down to 91c/bu with oilshare at 45.89%. Spreads were firmer with Dec/March corn narrowing into 7c from 7 1/2c. Dec 21/Dec 22 trades from 26 3/4c to 24 1/4c inverse. Nov/Jan bean spread trades from 8 1/2c to 9c, while Nov 21/Nov 22 trades from 30c inverse t...
AM Outlook - More Upside Follow-through
GOOD MORNING, The surprising strength of the rallies this week caught bears off guard, creating a short-covering rally which found little selling pressure. Corn was the strongest market but makes sense since it was the most beaten-up heading into the Sep. report. Basis remains stron...
PM Post - Weakness Gets Purchased
THE OPEN Nov beans: 6 higher Dec meal: .10 lower Dec soyoil: 50 higher Dec corn: 6 higher Dec wheat: 3 higher Prices opened as called but cancellations of beans surprised the market with an initial sell-off. Corn prices in particular led the way higher, with oilsha...
Technical Views - Upside Follow-through
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 96c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.72%. Corn spreads are firmer across the board. Dec/March corn trades into 7 1/4c from 8c, while Dec 21/22 corn inverse trades from 18c up to 23 1/2. Dec wheat/corn spread trades from 1.72 3/4c up to 1.79 1/2c...
AM Outlook - Momentum Lower is Stalled
GOOD MORNING, Prices begin the PM session mixed, led higher by corn with wheat lower, but most are higher heading into the close. The soy complex is firmer led by sharply higher soyoil on the back of higher crude and palm oil prices. Oilshare is back in vogue as traders buy soyoil/s...
PM Post - Upside Follow-through
THE OPEN Nov beans: 9 higher Dec meal: 1.00 higher Dec soyoil: 70 higher Dec corn: 3 1/2 higher Dec wheat: 10 higher Prices continued to journey higher after the open on upside technical follow-through. The Gulf is once again getting another thras...
AM Outlook - Waiting on Exports
GOOD MORNING, Prices are higher on the early night session as charts build on gains and on chatter that China has been actively purchasing US beans. The reversal trade on Friday for corn and beans showed promise, but would still call the bean rally a "relief" rally from the lows, while co...
Technical Views - Trading in Ranges
SPREADS December crush pops up to 91c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.10%. Spreads firm with Dec/March corn narrowing into 8 1/2c from 9c carry. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.74 1/c to 1.81 1/4c. Nov 21/Nov 22 inverse trades from 27c back to 31 3/4c. Nov/Jan bean spr...
PM Post - Continued Weakness
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 lower Dec meal: 2.00 lower Dec soyoil: 3 higher Dec corn: 8 lower Dec wheat: 5 1/2 lower The markets opened as called but quickly found new selling interest as another open week of harvest approaches. Bids at the Gulf are firmer, w...
AM Outlook - Seesaw Continues
GOOD MORNING, The markets opened on a steady note, but the weight of harvest upon the markets sent prices into the red even though they remain off their Friday lows for now. The report was neutral to bearish, but the hurricane had factored in much negativity before the data leaving room f...
Technical Views - Spreads and Oilshare
SPREADS Dec crush trades down to new lows at 84.14c/bu, while oilshare trades to 45.10%. Dec/March corn trades into 8 3/4c from 9 1/4c. DecMarch wheat trades from 10 1/4c to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.73c down to 1.69 3/4c. Nov 21/Nov 22 trads from 26c inverse to...
AM Outlook - Soft Ahead of Report
GOOD MORNING, Prices overnight generally were steady after a week of pressure. It is report day and the market has priced in a lot of bearish news, putting the onus on the bears to find something to take us much lower. If we go there, think there will be a lot of anxious end-users w...
Technical Views - Holding Pattern
SPREADS Dec. crush trades down to 90c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.43%. Dec/March corn spread narrows into 8c from 9 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 9 1/2c to 11c carry. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.82 1/2c to 1.79c. The Nov/Jan bean spread trades from 7...
PM Post - Meal Drags
THE OPEN Nov beans: 5 higher Dec meal: .50 lower Dec soyoil: 35 higher Dec corn: 1 higher Dec wheat: 1 higher The markets opened as called with further strength as traders lifted shorts in beans on the back of a continuing strong soyoil performance. Grains we...
AM Outlook - Demand Day
GOOD MORNING, Prices were higher at the start of the PM session with beans and soyoil in the lead to the upside. Global vegoil prices remain lock-step in the plus column as energies work to new highs. Canola prices are once again sharply higher on poor Canadian weather. Matif/Canada...
Technical Views - The Upshot
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 1.36c/bu while oilshare trades to new highs at 49.47%. Bean spreads are weaker as November contracts continue to roll forward. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 11c to 11 1/2c, while Nov 21/22 trades from 1 3/4c to 6 3/4c carry. Nov/March bean spread t...
PM Post - Buy Wheat, Sell Corn
THE OPEN November beans: 3 lower December meal: 1.30 lower December soyoil: 25 higher December corn: 2 lower December wheat: 3 lower The markets were called to open higher but funds came out as sellers. Funds continue to adjust positions heading into the October 12 WASDE...
AM Outlook - Trends Intact
GOOD MORNING, Prices opened close to home, higher for soy with some light profit-taking in wheat. All markets are higher heading into the close led by wheat. Minneapolis wheat trades into contract highs, and oats have traded into all-time record highs. Matif wheat made n...
PM Post - Eyeing Next WASDE
THE OPEN November beans: 1 higher December meal: .30 higher December soyoil: 50 pts higher December corn: 3 higher December wheat: 6 higher The markets opened as expected but found selling and a choppy trade. Energies found profit-taking which impacted soyoil...
AM Outlook - Congestive, Constructive, Bearish, Friendly
GOOD MORNING, Prices opened fairly close to home with wheat again the firm trade out, and all else mixed to slightly lower. During the PM session, prices firmed around the board led by soyoil. Egypt is in for wheat, and we will see what origin they purchase. Meal is tryi...
Technical Views - Rebound Higher
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 1.34c/bu, new highs, while oilshare trades 48.80%. Dec/March corn trades from 8c to 8 1/2c carry while the Dec 21/22 inverse trades from 7 1/2c to 5c. Dec/March wheat trades from 12 1/2c to new lows of 13c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 2.12c dow...
PM Post - Soyoil Drives; Grains Relax
THE OPEN November beans: 1/4 higher Deceme meal: 2.00 lower December soyoil: 72 higher December corn: 3 1/2 lower December wheat: 6 1/2 lower It was a bit of turn-around Tuesday as bean prices put in a reversal trade from the lows. Of note was an adjust...
Technical Views - Sliding
SPREADS Dec crush trades higher to 1.28c/bu while oilshare firms up to 47.54%. Dec/March corn trades out to 9c from 8 1/2c. Dec 21/22 inverse trades down to 5 1/4C from 7 3/4c. Dec/March wheat widens out to 12c from 11 3/4c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 2.18 1/2c to 2.08 3...
AM Outlook - Macro Pressures
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning, lower for everything but soyoil. Soyoil futures followed a strong performance by palm, which jumped to new contract highs, and firmer crude oil which trades closer to the $80/barrel mark. Oilshare is soaring, as Egypt comes to tender for...
PM Post - Good Inspections
THE OPEN November beans: 7 lower December meal: 1.40 lower December soyoil: 15 higher December corn: 3/4 lower December wheat: 6 higher The markets opened with new highs in wheat helping corn to stabilize, with soyoil futures firmer than expected. Oilshare returns...
AM Outlook - Grains Over Beans
GOOD MORNING, Prices started the PM session lower with corn prices slowly recovering led by wheat. Harvest proceeds forward as trading volumes are light. China is on holiday this week for Golden Week, which will add to fund control. Egypt announced an October 5 deadline...
Technical Views - Mostly Sideways
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 1.22c/bu while oilshare trades at 47.24%. Dec/March corn trades 8 1/4c to 8 1/2c, Dec 21/22 inverse trades down to 6c from 9 1/4c. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 9 3/4c to 10 1/4c while the Nov 21/22 inverse falls to 2 3/4c from 7 3/4c. Nov/Ma...
PM Post - Buy Grains/Sell Soy
THE OPEN November beans: 2 lower December meal: 1.60 higher December soyoil: 12 lower December corn: 6 higher December wheat: 12 higher The markets opened as called with corn prices rebounding along with strong wheat. Buy grains/sell soy and a small adjustment in oilshar...
Technical Views - Post-Report Adjustments
SPREADS Dec crush trades higher to 1.11c/bu, which will incentivize crushers to do all they can. Oilshare trades higher to 47.0%. Dec/March corn trades from 7 1/4c to 8 1/4c while Dec 21/22 trades from 13 1/4c down to 11 1/4c. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 9 1/2c to 10c. Nov...
AM Outlook - Two Potential Plays
GOOD MORNING, Prices for the soy complex are mixed, with beans lower, products trading both sides. Oilshare is seeing some profit-taking on the back of lower palm and crude. Grains are mixed with wheat higher to begin the session, but all turn positive by the end of the...
PM Post - Post-Report Adjustments
THE OPEN Nov beans: 4 higher Dec meal: 1.60 lower Dec soyoil: 90 higher Dec corn: 4 higher Dec wheat: 9 higher The markets opened as called but once again put in a good rally as this is month's end/quarter, first notice day for October, and position-squaring in front of...
AM Outlook - Bears are Watching
GOOD MORNING, The markets continue to put on good rallies. Features overnight include higher oilshare and soyoil strength, (on the back of strong palm prices), which helped beans to trade firm. There could be end-of-month short-covering in beans, as well as buying at perceived marke...
Technical Views - Mostly Firm
SPREADS Dec crush trades higher to 1.03c/bu while oilshare trades firmer as well to 46.20%. Dec/March corn trades from 7 3/4c carry to 8c. Dec 21/22 corn inverse trades from 21c to 18 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 12c to 12 1/4c, new lows. Dec wheat/corn trades...
PM Post - Up Leveling
THE OPEN Nov beans: 2 higher Dec meal: .20 higher Dec soyoil: 32 higher Dec corn: 3 higher Dec wheat: 7 higher The markets opened as called with the soy complex trending weaker after the open as grains stood its ground. The lack of business announcement...
AM Outlook - "V" is for Volatility
GOOD MORNING, Prices were mixed overnight but gradually turned higher led by wheat, as traders seem more pre-occupied by what is going on in outside markets such as energies and stocks than Ags. Funds hold a slight short in wheat but could be switching to long into the report tomorr...
Technical Views - Leveling Up
SPREADS Dec crush trades 1.03c/bu while oilshare is steady at 45.78%. Dec/March corn trades out to 8 1/4c from 7 3/4c while the Dec 21/22 inverse falls further to 15 1/2c from 19 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 11 1/2c to 12 1/2c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.73 1/2c t...
PM Post - Macros Prompt Fund Selling
THE OPEN Nov beans: 5 3/4 lower Dec meal: 1.40 lower Dec soyoil: 15 lower Dec corn: 1/2 lower Dec wheat: 1 higher The markets opened as expected but the soy complex found new selling after the open which drove beans lower and grains off the new highs traded. Storie...
Technical Views - Weight of the Soy Complex
SPREADS Dec crush trades up to 1.00c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.98%. Spreads trade from 7 1/2c to 7 3/4c for Dec/March, while Dec 21/22 inverse trades from a low of 19 3/4c to 22 1/2c. Dec /March wheat widens out to 12c from 11 1/2c. Dec wheat/corn trades down to 1.79 1/2c...
AM Outlook - Oil is the Big Kahuna
GOOD MORNING, The markets have put in a good rally as we head into the Sep. 1 Quarterly Stocks report. Corn rallied on any number of items, including rumors of possible Chinese inquiries, higher energies, unwinding of previous buy wheat/sell corn trade, and better stochastics that e...
PM Post - Outside Money Boost
THE OPEN Nov beans: 2 higher Dec meal: 2.00 higher Dec soyoil: 50 lower Dec corn: 1/2 lower Dec wheat: 1 lower The markets opened as called but corn prices turned higher as new money flows seemed to head into commodities on the back of comments from Goldman Sachs,...
Technical Views - Sideways Range-bound
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 93.70c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.51%. Spreads are firmer with Dec/March corn trading from 7 1/2c to 7 3/4c, while Dec 21/22 inverse trades from 21 3/4c to 20 3/4c. Dec/March wheat carry is slightly wider trading from 11c to 11 1/4c. Dec wheat/c...
AM Outlook - Bearish Tone
GOOD MORNING, Prices opened on a mixed note overnight, higher beans and wheat, lower corn. Weather is wide open for harvest. Soyoil futures opened lower vs. meal, and the EPA did not publish any biofuel mandate guidance as rumored last Friday. Beans continue to have a bi...
PM Post - Risk-off, Profit-taking, Position-leveling
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 lower Dec meal: .20 lower Dec soyoil: 5 lower Dec corn: 1 lower Dec wheat: 1/2 lower The markets opened lower on a cautious air as headlines from China to the EPA can hit anytime and send prices in the opposite direction. Traders are watching outside mark...
Technical Views - Round We Go
SPREADS Dec crush trades up to 91.20c/bu while oilshare trades higher to 45.55%. Dec/March trades from 7 1/2c to 8c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 24c inverse to 21 3/4. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.92c to 1.87 3/4c. Dec /March wheat trades from 10 1/2c to 11c. ...
Am Outlook - Notable Stories
GOOD MORNING, Prices were mixed in the evening, higher for beans and soyoil with corn struggling and all turning in the red by the AM hour. Soyoil prices are proceeding with caution as some expect an EPA story about biofuels. The rumors are that the EPA may finally release two years...
PM Post - As Called
THE OPEN Nov beans: 2 higher Dec meal: 1.10 lower Dec soyoil: 40 higher Dec corn: 2 lower Dec wheat: 4 higher The markets opened as called with prices continuing to wobble at first, only to find some tech strength on the back of strong wheat. A sale of corn w...
AM Outlooked - Mixed Day
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed with wheat and soyoil leading the way in strength. The PM session featured more congestion trade as harvest rolls on and funds continue the process of positioning in front of the September 30 Quarterly Stocks report. Helping to steady the markets were...
Technical Views - Corn/Soymeal Lower
SPREADS Dec oilshare trades to 45.20% while crush trades up to 89.85c. Dec/March corn narrows into 7 1/4c from 7 1/2c. Dec 21/22 trades from 24 1/2c inverse down to 22 3/4c. Nov/Jan bean carry trades from 8 3/4c out to 9 1/2c, while the Nov 21/22 trades from 36 1/4c inverse do...
AM Outlook - Mixed
GOOD MORNING, Prices started the evening on a tentative note, but beans, wheat, and soyoil prices rallied into the morning hours taking corn along with it. Oilshare has a bit of a comeback with a nice rally back to soyoil. Higher palm, canola, and crude stabilizes the soyoil chart,...
Technical Views - Upside Follow-through
SPREADS Dec crush is 88.65% with oilshare at 44.83%. Spreads are wider with Dec/March corn trading from 7 /34c to 8 1/2c carry, while Dec 21/Dec 22 trades from 23 1/2c to 18 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 10 3/4c to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.77 3/4c to 1.76c. ...
PM Post - Loss of Upside Steam
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 higher Dec meal: 1.30 higher Dec soyoil: 15 higher Dec corn: 1 lower Dec wheat: 4 lower Prices opened as called but oilshare quickly found more selling pressure as traders bot meal/sold soy oil. The markets continued to find...
Technical Views - Soy to Lead
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 89c while oilshare trades to 44.76%. Dec/March corn carry trades from 8c to 8 1/4c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 20c inverse to 19c. Dec /March wheat trades from 10 3/4c to 11c carry. Dec wheat/corn trades 1.76 1/2c. Nov/Jan trades from 9c to 9...
AM Outlook - Still Awaiting Upside Reversal
GOOD MORNING, Prices overnight continue to trend lower for grains, while attempting to put in some stabilization trade for soyoil and beans. Outside markets are showing a recovery from yesterday's nose-dive, with crude up which is supporting soyoil futures. Beans are also seei...
PM Post - Beans Beaten Worst
THE OPEN Nov beans: 17 lower Dec meal: 2.80 lower Dec soyoil: 108 pts lower Dec corn: 11 lower Dec wheat: 10 lower The markets opened into lower prices due to weight from outside markets, which included sharply lower stocks, weaker energies, and a firmer US dollar...
AM Outlook - Exiting Some Longs
GOOD MORNING, Prices are lower across the board on more fund selling as weather moving forward continues to favor a good pace of harvest. Outside markets are lower, so there seems to be a macro-influence here along with harvest pressure. Crude oil prices are lower as world stock mar...
Technical Views - Retrace Lower
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 88c/bu while oilshare trades at 45.0%. Dec/March corn trades out to 8c from 7c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 23 1/2c carry to 20 3/4c. Dec/March wheat carry trades from 10 1/2c to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.86 1/4c to 1.83c. Nov/Jan bean...
PM Post - Macro Sell-off
THE OPEN Nov beans: 10 lower Dec meal; 2.30 lower Dec soyoil: 52 lower Dec corn: 2 1/2 lower Dec wheat: 3 3/4 lower The markets opened as called but quickly moved lower as funds turned sellers into an open harvest weekend. Most commodities outside grain...
AM Outlook - Moving Lower
GOOD MORNING, The markets were lower overnight as we cap off a week that contained a rally, and will end with good harvest weather across the heart of the Midwest. Soyoil futures encountered its ups and downs, but it was mostly lower yesterday on the back of weaker energies and digestion...
Technical Views - Lower Range Profit-tacking
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 86c/bu while oilshare trades at 45.44%. Dec/March corn trades from 7 1/2c to 7 3/4c, while Dec 21/Dec 22 trades from 26c inverses to 24 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 10 1/2c carry to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.99 1/2c down to 1.84c...
PM Post - Choppy but Constructive
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 higher Dec meal; 2.70 higher Dec soyoil: 34 lower Dec corn: 1 1/2 higher Dec wheat: 3 1/2 lower The markets opened as expected with more strength in bean and meal prices while soyoil and wheat prices struggled. Price action was choppy as some bulls took p...
Technical Views - Ownership
SPREADS Crush trades down to 91c/bu with oilshare at 45.89%. Spreads were firmer with Dec/March corn narrowing into 7c from 7 1/2c. Dec 21/Dec 22 trades from 26 3/4c to 24 1/4c inverse. Nov/Jan bean spread trades from 8 1/2c to 9c, while Nov 21/Nov 22 trades from 30c inverse t...
AM Outlook - More Upside Follow-through
GOOD MORNING, The surprising strength of the rallies this week caught bears off guard, creating a short-covering rally which found little selling pressure. Corn was the strongest market but makes sense since it was the most beaten-up heading into the Sep. report. Basis remains stron...
PM Post - Weakness Gets Purchased
THE OPEN Nov beans: 6 higher Dec meal: .10 lower Dec soyoil: 50 higher Dec corn: 6 higher Dec wheat: 3 higher Prices opened as called but cancellations of beans surprised the market with an initial sell-off. Corn prices in particular led the way higher, with oilsha...
Technical Views - Upside Follow-through
SPREADS Dec crush trades to 96c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.72%. Corn spreads are firmer across the board. Dec/March corn trades into 7 1/4c from 8c, while Dec 21/22 corn inverse trades from 18c up to 23 1/2. Dec wheat/corn spread trades from 1.72 3/4c up to 1.79 1/2c...
AM Outlook - Momentum Lower is Stalled
GOOD MORNING, Prices begin the PM session mixed, led higher by corn with wheat lower, but most are higher heading into the close. The soy complex is firmer led by sharply higher soyoil on the back of higher crude and palm oil prices. Oilshare is back in vogue as traders buy soyoil/s...
PM Post - Upside Follow-through
THE OPEN Nov beans: 9 higher Dec meal: 1.00 higher Dec soyoil: 70 higher Dec corn: 3 1/2 higher Dec wheat: 10 higher Prices continued to journey higher after the open on upside technical follow-through. The Gulf is once again getting another thras...
AM Outlook - Waiting on Exports
GOOD MORNING, Prices are higher on the early night session as charts build on gains and on chatter that China has been actively purchasing US beans. The reversal trade on Friday for corn and beans showed promise, but would still call the bean rally a "relief" rally from the lows, while co...
Technical Views - Trading in Ranges
SPREADS December crush pops up to 91c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.10%. Spreads firm with Dec/March corn narrowing into 8 1/2c from 9c carry. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.74 1/c to 1.81 1/4c. Nov 21/Nov 22 inverse trades from 27c back to 31 3/4c. Nov/Jan bean spr...
PM Post - Continued Weakness
THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 lower Dec meal: 2.00 lower Dec soyoil: 3 higher Dec corn: 8 lower Dec wheat: 5 1/2 lower The markets opened as called but quickly found new selling interest as another open week of harvest approaches. Bids at the Gulf are firmer, w...
AM Outlook - Seesaw Continues
GOOD MORNING, The markets opened on a steady note, but the weight of harvest upon the markets sent prices into the red even though they remain off their Friday lows for now. The report was neutral to bearish, but the hurricane had factored in much negativity before the data leaving room f...
Technical Views - Spreads and Oilshare
SPREADS Dec crush trades down to new lows at 84.14c/bu, while oilshare trades to 45.10%. Dec/March corn trades into 8 3/4c from 9 1/4c. DecMarch wheat trades from 10 1/4c to 11c. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.73c down to 1.69 3/4c. Nov 21/Nov 22 trads from 26c inverse to...
AM Outlook - Soft Ahead of Report
GOOD MORNING, Prices overnight generally were steady after a week of pressure. It is report day and the market has priced in a lot of bearish news, putting the onus on the bears to find something to take us much lower. If we go there, think there will be a lot of anxious end-users w...
Technical Views - Holding Pattern
SPREADS Dec. crush trades down to 90c/bu while oilshare trades to 45.43%. Dec/March corn spread narrows into 8c from 9 1/4c. Dec/March wheat trades from 9 1/2c to 11c carry. Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.82 1/2c to 1.79c. The Nov/Jan bean spread trades from 7...