World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 25 September)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here. Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “How To”...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 14–18 September 2026 The Russian grain market remained bearish during the second week of September, although the market is attempting to establish a bottom as trading is now dominated by new-crop supplies. Logistics remain a major factor. Farms and traders located b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 7–11 September 2026 During the first week of September, the Russian grain market remained volatile but predominantly bearish. Among the few commodities that continued to show a bullish trend was rye, which is in short supply this year and has few offers available. I...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. soybeans is for reduced ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 310 million. The U.S. season-average soybean price is forecast at $12.00 per bushel, up $0.60 from last month: Soybean meal price is increased $30 to $340 per short ton, and the...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is for reduced ending stocks by 86 million bushels to 1.567 billion. The season-average U.S. farm price is increased $0.30 per bushel to $4.80. Foreign corn ending stocks are reduced, mostly reflecting a reduction for India, that was pa...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 is unchanged for total U.S. wheat, but there were a few adjustments in wheat types. The season-average U.S. farm price is increased $0.20 per bushel to $6.40. This month’s global wheat outlook is for ending stocks to increase 3.0 million me...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Soybeans

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

soy-oilseeds biofuel softs

Why the Black Sea Dominates the Global Sunflower Oil Market

Key Takeaways: Sunflower oil is a major global vegetable oil despite its relatively limited presence in the United States, with sunflowerseed containing substantially more oil than soybeans. Russia and Ukraine sit at the center of the global sunflower oil market, together accounting for 57 per...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 31 August – 4 September 2026 The Russian grain market continued its bearish trend during the first week of September, with ample stocks and weak demand keeping pressure on prices. At the same time, Russian exports are undergoing a structural shift as traders increas...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 24–28 August 2026 During the fourth week of August, the Russian grain market continued to slide, although the pace of the decline slowed. The immediate market reaction and collapse in export activity have placed significant pressure on farmers. Price declines vary b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Tightening Supplies and Strong Demand Fuel a Grain Market Rally

Key Takeaways: Corn and soybean prices rallied sharply last week as declining U.S. production expectations collided with strong demand, raising the prospect of tighter supplies and leaving the market with a smaller margin for further yield losses. The USDA’s lower August yield estimates...

Transportation Perspectives - 27 August

Key Takeaways: The Panama Canal traded at a record $5.3 million for a transit slot this week as line-up times extend to 17 days. The difficulties transiting the Canal are supporting the PNW/Gulf spread. Tanker freight markets remain elevated as the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 17–21 August 2026 The Russian grain market continued to decline during the third week of August as the Black Sea blockade severely disrupted export logistics. The resulting loss of export capacity is pressuring domestic prices and increasing storage concerns as the...

Transportation Perspectives - 20 August

Key Takeaways: The Panama Canal’s draft restrictions and decreasing rainfall outlook are driving big moves in dry bulk markets this week. Panamax markets are sharply lower as the economics of moving freight across the Canal are deteriorating rapidly, leading to support in Supramax vessels...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10–14 August 2026 The Russian grain market continued to weaken sharply during the second week of August as the Black Sea logistics situation deteriorated. Russia and Ukraine continued exchanging drone and ballistic attacks on seaports, infrastructure and commercial...

soy-oilseeds farm-inputs

Brazil’s Reliance on Imported Fertilizer Is a Potential Weak Link

Key Takeaways: Brazil’s growing role in global agriculture is accompanied by a major vulnerability: the country imports approximately 88 percent of its fertilizer needs. High natural gas costs and development challenges have limited domestic nitrogen and potash production despite Brazil&...

farm-inputs

Fertilizer’s Bullish Outlook for 2027

Unlike the 2022 fertilizer shock, today’s disruption is rooted less in rerouted trade flows and more in damaged production capacity, raw material constraints and uncertain recovery timelines. That makes this a longer-duration risk for U.S. agricultural producers and retailers who must sec...

Agricultural Precision Technology: A Look Back and Forward

We have described the long-term investment climate in crop and livestock production, using data primarily from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The data provided background on the current investment climate and outlook for agricultural capital formation. Our conclusion was that investment...

Transportation Perspectives - 13 August

Key Takeaways: Dry bulk freight markets are higher this week as activity in Asia and off the ECSA picks up.  President Trump extended the Jones Act waiver for another 90 days this week, allowing foreign-flagged vessels to transport oil and other goods between U.S. ports.  A container...

feed-grains wheat

Black Sea and EU Export Discussion

One of the curious developments from the August WASDE was USDA’s handling of the European, Russian, and Ukrainian corn and wheat balance sheets. The EU has battled significant drought and heat this year, while Russia and Ukraine are increasingly locked in a battle for control over the Bla...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

AP Quant: WASDE Vegoils

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - August 2026

USDA’s August WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. soybeans is for a modest increase in the U.S. ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 320 million. There was no impact on prices – the seasonal-average farm price of soybeans remains unchanged at $11.40 per bushel; soybean meal and oil pri...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 25 September)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here. Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “How To”...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 14–18 September 2026 The Russian grain market remained bearish during the second week of September, although the market is attempting to establish a bottom as trading is now dominated by new-crop supplies. Logistics remain a major factor. Farms and traders located b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 7–11 September 2026 During the first week of September, the Russian grain market remained volatile but predominantly bearish. Among the few commodities that continued to show a bullish trend was rye, which is in short supply this year and has few offers available. I...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. soybeans is for reduced ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 310 million. The U.S. season-average soybean price is forecast at $12.00 per bushel, up $0.60 from last month: Soybean meal price is increased $30 to $340 per short ton, and the...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is for reduced ending stocks by 86 million bushels to 1.567 billion. The season-average U.S. farm price is increased $0.30 per bushel to $4.80. Foreign corn ending stocks are reduced, mostly reflecting a reduction for India, that was pa...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - September 2026

USDA’s September WASDE outlook for 2026/27 is unchanged for total U.S. wheat, but there were a few adjustments in wheat types. The season-average U.S. farm price is increased $0.20 per bushel to $6.40. This month’s global wheat outlook is for ending stocks to increase 3.0 million me...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

soy-oilseeds

AP Quant: WASDE Soybeans

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

soy-oilseeds biofuel softs

Why the Black Sea Dominates the Global Sunflower Oil Market

Key Takeaways: Sunflower oil is a major global vegetable oil despite its relatively limited presence in the United States, with sunflowerseed containing substantially more oil than soybeans. Russia and Ukraine sit at the center of the global sunflower oil market, together accounting for 57 per...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 31 August – 4 September 2026 The Russian grain market continued its bearish trend during the first week of September, with ample stocks and weak demand keeping pressure on prices. At the same time, Russian exports are undergoing a structural shift as traders increas...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 24–28 August 2026 During the fourth week of August, the Russian grain market continued to slide, although the pace of the decline slowed. The immediate market reaction and collapse in export activity have placed significant pressure on farmers. Price declines vary b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Tightening Supplies and Strong Demand Fuel a Grain Market Rally

Key Takeaways: Corn and soybean prices rallied sharply last week as declining U.S. production expectations collided with strong demand, raising the prospect of tighter supplies and leaving the market with a smaller margin for further yield losses. The USDA’s lower August yield estimates...

Transportation Perspectives - 27 August

Key Takeaways: The Panama Canal traded at a record $5.3 million for a transit slot this week as line-up times extend to 17 days. The difficulties transiting the Canal are supporting the PNW/Gulf spread. Tanker freight markets remain elevated as the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 17–21 August 2026 The Russian grain market continued to decline during the third week of August as the Black Sea blockade severely disrupted export logistics. The resulting loss of export capacity is pressuring domestic prices and increasing storage concerns as the...

Transportation Perspectives - 20 August

Key Takeaways: The Panama Canal’s draft restrictions and decreasing rainfall outlook are driving big moves in dry bulk markets this week. Panamax markets are sharply lower as the economics of moving freight across the Canal are deteriorating rapidly, leading to support in Supramax vessels...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10–14 August 2026 The Russian grain market continued to weaken sharply during the second week of August as the Black Sea logistics situation deteriorated. Russia and Ukraine continued exchanging drone and ballistic attacks on seaports, infrastructure and commercial...

soy-oilseeds farm-inputs

Brazil’s Reliance on Imported Fertilizer Is a Potential Weak Link

Key Takeaways: Brazil’s growing role in global agriculture is accompanied by a major vulnerability: the country imports approximately 88 percent of its fertilizer needs. High natural gas costs and development challenges have limited domestic nitrogen and potash production despite Brazil&...

farm-inputs

Fertilizer’s Bullish Outlook for 2027

Unlike the 2022 fertilizer shock, today’s disruption is rooted less in rerouted trade flows and more in damaged production capacity, raw material constraints and uncertain recovery timelines. That makes this a longer-duration risk for U.S. agricultural producers and retailers who must sec...

Agricultural Precision Technology: A Look Back and Forward

We have described the long-term investment climate in crop and livestock production, using data primarily from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The data provided background on the current investment climate and outlook for agricultural capital formation. Our conclusion was that investment...

Transportation Perspectives - 13 August

Key Takeaways: Dry bulk freight markets are higher this week as activity in Asia and off the ECSA picks up.  President Trump extended the Jones Act waiver for another 90 days this week, allowing foreign-flagged vessels to transport oil and other goods between U.S. ports.  A container...

feed-grains wheat

Black Sea and EU Export Discussion

One of the curious developments from the August WASDE was USDA’s handling of the European, Russian, and Ukrainian corn and wheat balance sheets. The EU has battled significant drought and heat this year, while Russia and Ukraine are increasingly locked in a battle for control over the Bla...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

AP Quant: WASDE Vegoils

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - August 2026

USDA’s August WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. soybeans is for a modest increase in the U.S. ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 320 million. There was no impact on prices – the seasonal-average farm price of soybeans remains unchanged at $11.40 per bushel; soybean meal and oil pri...

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