Recent Feed Grains Analysis
Market Commentary: Volatility Continues with Corn Less Supported than Soybeans
The market continues to look for a floor following Monday’s WASDE report, with soybeans and soyoil finding terra firma on a bullish NOPA report that showed crush at a near-record level. Volume was generally subdued but skyrocketed in soyoil as traders sought to get a piece of the rising a...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2025/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.53/bushel, up $0.105 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $289.2/short ton, down $2.7 f...
Export Sales
Export Sales and Shipments for January 2 - 8, 2026. Wheat: Net sales of 156,300 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 32 percent from the previous week, but down 21 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 303,300 MT were up 76 percent from the previous week, but down 29 perc...
Market Commentary: Strong Grain Demand, Technical Factors Stabilize CBOT
The CBOT finally saw bulls emerge after the past two days of selling as technical factors and strong corn and soybean demand supported positive sentiments. Futures were oversold based on short-term technical factors and, consequently, were ripe for a little bounce. The day’s news confirme...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.22/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.425/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.9/short ton, up $0.3 from ye...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5–9 January 2026 The first week of January is typically quiet for trading and logistics as Russia observes Orthodox Christmas. Activity remained subdued, although the ongoing Russo–Ukrainian war continued to shape market sentiment. Both sides carried out airst...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.3875/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.6/short ton, down...
Market Commentary: Bears in Control Again; Trump-Iran-China Triangle Sinks Soybeans
Bears were once again in control of the CBOT on Tuesday as the effects of the January WASDE continue to ripple through markets. Tuesday’s trade also saw the bearish effects of rising U.S. political tensions after President Trump announced the implementation of a 25 percent tariff on any c...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
London based GAFTA – Grain and Feed Trade Association – advises that in 2024/25 they had 314 new mainly grain arbitrations and 43 appeals. 170 arbitrations were finalized while 46 were settled outside of arbitration. The average cost for an arbitration, under rule 125 for a GAFTA me...
Market Commentary: Yield, Acreage Increases Sink Corn, Soybeans
The CBOT came under heavy selling pressure following the January WASDE as USDA unexpectedly increased U.S. corn acreage and yields. The USDA also added area to the soybean harvested and made a bearish cut to U.S. wheat demand, moves which sent all of the major commodity futures markets sharply...
WASDE Corn - Jan 2026
USDA’s Jan estimate for 2025/26 U.S. corn is for larger production and higher feed residual usage to result in greater ending stocks: Corn production is estimated at 17.0 billion bushels, up 269 million on a 0.5-bushel increase in yield to 186.5 bushels per acre and a 1.3-million acre ris...
Mercosure Regional Analysis
CORN Corn planting progress has reached nearly 90 percent of projected area. Almost 70 percent of the corn crops is going through the critical growth stage. Crops are beginning to experience a lack of wáter after many days of intense heat and wind. , Fields are starting to appear stresed...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.215/bushel, down $0.2425 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1125/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.49/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $298.3/short ton, down $5.4...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4575/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.625/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.7/short ton, up $0...
Market Commentary: Holding Breath for Monday’s WASDE
As expected, it was a lower volume trading day ahead of likely market moving USDA reports on Monday. The exceptions were HRS and lean hogs. There were also generally lower trading ranges. The soybean complex traded higher on strength in coproducts but the rest of the board was mostly in the red...
Export Sales
Export Sales and Shipments for December 26, 2025 – January 1, 2026. Wheat: Net sales of 118,700 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 24 percent from the previous week, but down 55 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 172,000 MT were down 60 percent from the p...
Market Commentary: Mixed Volume, Mixed Outcomes
Agricultural futures were mixed today with generally higher volume except in soybeans and corn. Traders were cautious not to get out ahead of their skis given the historical propensity for USDA’s January WASDE report to contain curve balls (see below). New sales of soybeans to China made...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.46/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6125/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, down $1.8 from...
Market Commentary: Export Chatter Lifts Soymeal, Soybeans; Weather Worries Boost Wheat
The CBOT renewed its early-week strength at mid-week and turned higher with soybeans and soymeal in the lead. Fresh news was light for the day, but markets responded positively to rumors of export business getting done for soybeans and soymeal, with wheat gaining on an increasingly warm and les...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4675/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.67/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $305.4/short ton, up $5.9 from y...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grains Market: 29 December 2025–02 January 2026 Russia’s grain market remained bearish during the final week of December, with most fundamentals continuing to pressure prices and preventing authorities from setting higher export duties. The country will remain heavily export...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5625/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.5/short ton, down $0.4...
Market Commentary: Weaker Crude Oil Sinks CBOT Despite Soybean Sales to China
The CBOT on Tuesday failed to follow Monday’s dramatic technical strength and corn, the soy complex, and wheat all settled lower for the day. A sharp pullback in crude oil prices was primarily responsible for the soy complex weakness as it eliminated a key piece of support for soyoil. In...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Morocco has established its soft wheat import rebate program for 1 January to 30 April 2026. The actual amount of the import rebate is calculated on the average landed cost versus the government set reference price based on inform...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
Monday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders paring back long positions across the ag space for the third straight week as technical conditions deteriorated further. Funds shed 34,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn and soybeans accounting for mo...
Market Commentary: Grains Rally on Crude Oil and Short Covering; Cattle Tempest Now Tempered
Ag markets were higher with support coming from a rally in crude oil and broader energy markets after the U.S. removed Venezuela’s president from power over the weekend. The move has direct bullish implications for crude oil supplies in the near term, which should help broader commodity m...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
WHEAT The holiday period did not slow harvest. As of 30 December 2025, wheat harvest reached 93 percent of total area. Yields above expectations led the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange to raise its crop estimate to 27.8 MMT, in line with other estimates and similar to general market expectations. T...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.445/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.62/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.9/short ton, up $3.9 from yest...
Market Commentary: New Year Looks Like Old Year
Traders closed out an overall lower week with more of the same. There was a new contract low in SRW, but a late rally pushed HRW slightly into the green for the day but not for the week. Traders brushed off increasing Russia-Ukraine hostilities and any risk of winterkill in wheat. It was a fift...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.375/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.065/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.4575/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $296/short ton, down $3...
New Bridge Payments Restore Profitability
On 31 December the USDA announced the per acre payment rates for the Farmer Bridge Assistance (FBA) program for producers hit by the ongoing tariffs. Cotton and rice will receive the highest payments. On 15 December WPI estimated the upcoming payments, with cotton and rice at the top of t...
Market Commentary: January WASDE is the Future
The pre-holiday risk-off, profit-taking mode continued on the last trading day of 2025. Traders closed out the calendar year with the expected low-level enthusiasm. Positions were tidied up with few fresh inputs as the past is the past and the future is now the USDA January WASDE report. ...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.07/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.1475 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.4/short ton, down $...
Market Commentary: Export Sales Fail to Excite Soybeans; Corn, Wheat Down on Technical Trade
The CBOT traded mostly lower on Tuesday with funds remaining dedicated sellers. The motivation for their selling stems partially from pre-holiday risk-off trading and partially from the technical weakness enveloping the charts. Corn was the downside leader for the second straight day, though ob...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.405/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1075/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6225/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $302.3/short ton, down...
China Market Analysis
Grain Utilization Grain market prices have been cooling of late due to the prospects of a large South American crop, but China is also cited as an influence. Sinograin has been auctioning soybeans and it may also be releasing some of its reserves of corn into the market. Corn and wheat are bein...
Market Commentary: Volatility Continues with Corn Less Supported than Soybeans
The market continues to look for a floor following Monday’s WASDE report, with soybeans and soyoil finding terra firma on a bullish NOPA report that showed crush at a near-record level. Volume was generally subdued but skyrocketed in soyoil as traders sought to get a piece of the rising a...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2025/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.53/bushel, up $0.105 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $289.2/short ton, down $2.7 f...
Export Sales
Export Sales and Shipments for January 2 - 8, 2026. Wheat: Net sales of 156,300 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 32 percent from the previous week, but down 21 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 303,300 MT were up 76 percent from the previous week, but down 29 perc...
Market Commentary: Strong Grain Demand, Technical Factors Stabilize CBOT
The CBOT finally saw bulls emerge after the past two days of selling as technical factors and strong corn and soybean demand supported positive sentiments. Futures were oversold based on short-term technical factors and, consequently, were ripe for a little bounce. The day’s news confirme...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.22/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.425/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.9/short ton, up $0.3 from ye...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5–9 January 2026 The first week of January is typically quiet for trading and logistics as Russia observes Orthodox Christmas. Activity remained subdued, although the ongoing Russo–Ukrainian war continued to shape market sentiment. Both sides carried out airst...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.3875/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.6/short ton, down...
Market Commentary: Bears in Control Again; Trump-Iran-China Triangle Sinks Soybeans
Bears were once again in control of the CBOT on Tuesday as the effects of the January WASDE continue to ripple through markets. Tuesday’s trade also saw the bearish effects of rising U.S. political tensions after President Trump announced the implementation of a 25 percent tariff on any c...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
London based GAFTA – Grain and Feed Trade Association – advises that in 2024/25 they had 314 new mainly grain arbitrations and 43 appeals. 170 arbitrations were finalized while 46 were settled outside of arbitration. The average cost for an arbitration, under rule 125 for a GAFTA me...
Market Commentary: Yield, Acreage Increases Sink Corn, Soybeans
The CBOT came under heavy selling pressure following the January WASDE as USDA unexpectedly increased U.S. corn acreage and yields. The USDA also added area to the soybean harvested and made a bearish cut to U.S. wheat demand, moves which sent all of the major commodity futures markets sharply...
WASDE Corn - Jan 2026
USDA’s Jan estimate for 2025/26 U.S. corn is for larger production and higher feed residual usage to result in greater ending stocks: Corn production is estimated at 17.0 billion bushels, up 269 million on a 0.5-bushel increase in yield to 186.5 bushels per acre and a 1.3-million acre ris...
Mercosure Regional Analysis
CORN Corn planting progress has reached nearly 90 percent of projected area. Almost 70 percent of the corn crops is going through the critical growth stage. Crops are beginning to experience a lack of wáter after many days of intense heat and wind. , Fields are starting to appear stresed...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.215/bushel, down $0.2425 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1125/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.49/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $298.3/short ton, down $5.4...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4575/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.625/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.7/short ton, up $0...
Market Commentary: Holding Breath for Monday’s WASDE
As expected, it was a lower volume trading day ahead of likely market moving USDA reports on Monday. The exceptions were HRS and lean hogs. There were also generally lower trading ranges. The soybean complex traded higher on strength in coproducts but the rest of the board was mostly in the red...
Export Sales
Export Sales and Shipments for December 26, 2025 – January 1, 2026. Wheat: Net sales of 118,700 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were up 24 percent from the previous week, but down 55 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 172,000 MT were down 60 percent from the p...
Market Commentary: Mixed Volume, Mixed Outcomes
Agricultural futures were mixed today with generally higher volume except in soybeans and corn. Traders were cautious not to get out ahead of their skis given the historical propensity for USDA’s January WASDE report to contain curve balls (see below). New sales of soybeans to China made...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.46/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6125/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, down $1.8 from...
Market Commentary: Export Chatter Lifts Soymeal, Soybeans; Weather Worries Boost Wheat
The CBOT renewed its early-week strength at mid-week and turned higher with soybeans and soymeal in the lead. Fresh news was light for the day, but markets responded positively to rumors of export business getting done for soybeans and soymeal, with wheat gaining on an increasingly warm and les...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4675/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.67/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $305.4/short ton, up $5.9 from y...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grains Market: 29 December 2025–02 January 2026 Russia’s grain market remained bearish during the final week of December, with most fundamentals continuing to pressure prices and preventing authorities from setting higher export duties. The country will remain heavily export...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5625/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.5/short ton, down $0.4...
Market Commentary: Weaker Crude Oil Sinks CBOT Despite Soybean Sales to China
The CBOT on Tuesday failed to follow Monday’s dramatic technical strength and corn, the soy complex, and wheat all settled lower for the day. A sharp pullback in crude oil prices was primarily responsible for the soy complex weakness as it eliminated a key piece of support for soyoil. In...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Morocco has established its soft wheat import rebate program for 1 January to 30 April 2026. The actual amount of the import rebate is calculated on the average landed cost versus the government set reference price based on inform...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
Monday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders paring back long positions across the ag space for the third straight week as technical conditions deteriorated further. Funds shed 34,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn and soybeans accounting for mo...
Market Commentary: Grains Rally on Crude Oil and Short Covering; Cattle Tempest Now Tempered
Ag markets were higher with support coming from a rally in crude oil and broader energy markets after the U.S. removed Venezuela’s president from power over the weekend. The move has direct bullish implications for crude oil supplies in the near term, which should help broader commodity m...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
WHEAT The holiday period did not slow harvest. As of 30 December 2025, wheat harvest reached 93 percent of total area. Yields above expectations led the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange to raise its crop estimate to 27.8 MMT, in line with other estimates and similar to general market expectations. T...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.445/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.62/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.9/short ton, up $3.9 from yest...
Market Commentary: New Year Looks Like Old Year
Traders closed out an overall lower week with more of the same. There was a new contract low in SRW, but a late rally pushed HRW slightly into the green for the day but not for the week. Traders brushed off increasing Russia-Ukraine hostilities and any risk of winterkill in wheat. It was a fift...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.375/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.065/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.4575/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $296/short ton, down $3...
New Bridge Payments Restore Profitability
On 31 December the USDA announced the per acre payment rates for the Farmer Bridge Assistance (FBA) program for producers hit by the ongoing tariffs. Cotton and rice will receive the highest payments. On 15 December WPI estimated the upcoming payments, with cotton and rice at the top of t...
Market Commentary: January WASDE is the Future
The pre-holiday risk-off, profit-taking mode continued on the last trading day of 2025. Traders closed out the calendar year with the expected low-level enthusiasm. Positions were tidied up with few fresh inputs as the past is the past and the future is now the USDA January WASDE report. ...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.07/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.1475 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.4/short ton, down $...
Market Commentary: Export Sales Fail to Excite Soybeans; Corn, Wheat Down on Technical Trade
The CBOT traded mostly lower on Tuesday with funds remaining dedicated sellers. The motivation for their selling stems partially from pre-holiday risk-off trading and partially from the technical weakness enveloping the charts. Corn was the downside leader for the second straight day, though ob...
Summary of Futures
Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.405/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.1075/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6225/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $302.3/short ton, down...
China Market Analysis
Grain Utilization Grain market prices have been cooling of late due to the prospects of a large South American crop, but China is also cited as an influence. Sinograin has been auctioning soybeans and it may also be releasing some of its reserves of corn into the market. Corn and wheat are bein...