U.S. wheat futures markets continue to trade in a relatively narrow range that is also near the bottom of a longer term-range (see the Chicago wheat chart below).
Wheat markets should eventually break out of this bearish pattern for a number of fundamental reasons. USDA has been very slow to reduce 2018 world wheat production even though virtually every private analyst and several foreign government groups are using smaller numbers. It did make a few minor adjustments in yesterday’s reports, but those are still not enough (in our opinion). The table below compares USDA’s 2017/18 numbers for the major wheat-exporting countries with its forecast and that of WPI for 2018/19.
WPI’s lower production and export numbers for...
The corn and soy complex closed higher, with the wheat market mixed, as winter wheat closed up but spring wheat and livestock ended lower. Part of the strength for corn and soybeans may have been a weather premium, as crop planting has started out fast but warm weather has been slow to develop...
Real GDP grew at a 2 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2026, slightly below the consensus expectation of 2.3 percent but above the 0.5 percent growth in Q4 2025. The GDP number matches the average annualized pace of growth since the peak back in late 2007, right before the Financial P...
Reflect for a moment on what you eat. There is a lot of advice out there in the ether about what you should eat, but really, what do you currently eat and how much? The good people at the USDA have some data for you, to help you answer that question. USDA says that we eat quite a bit of meat. L...
