GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed with rains in the eastern Corn Belt weighing on prices, and lower crude oil creating a buy meal/sell soyoil trade. Soyoil trades sharply lower on weaker palm and crude which impacts beans. Corn spreads are weaker while nearby bean spreads reach new highs. The Goldman roll continues to today for September contracts. The August 12 WASDE will be released at 11:00 central time. Look for more position - evening into that event. Advertised guesses for corn production is 15.0 bln bu, vs. 15.165 bln bu mo ago, and a yield at 177.6 bpa vs. 179.5 bpa. Advertised guesses for beans on Thursday are at 4.375 blnbu vs. 4.405 bln bu mo ago, and a yield of 50.4 bpa vs. 50.8 bpa...
What You Need to Know Today: Chinese officials indicated that China and the U.S. have agreed to cut 10 percent tariffs on imports. Chinese officials confirmed that a “guiding target” has been set for purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, but fell short of confirming that the U.S. r...
Key Takeaways: Soyoil futures have been trading at the highest levels since 2022. Higher crude oil prices have allowed biofuels to be more cost-competitive with fossil fuels. Recent U.S. biofuel policy, including 45Z, has been favorable toward soyoil as a feedstock. California will be limiting...
Free Trade to State Direction Conceptually, American farmers are huge winners under a free trade policy promising fair and equitable terms. As critics of President Trump’s trade wars will be quick to point out, “U.S. farmers have been some of the biggest beneficiaries of U.S...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.