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Bearish Sugar Prices to Continue Despite Production Increases

The U.S. 2025/26 sugar supply is forecast at 14.119 million short tons, raw value (STRV), down 1,800 STRV from November as the decrease in expected imports of refined organic and specialty sugar, which pays the high tier, out of quota duty, more than offsets the increase in beginning stocks and domestic sugar production in 2025.  Lower beet sugar production is more than offset by increases in cane sugar production, thereby placing the domestic sugar output at 9.342 million STRV, the second largest production volume behind 2024’s 9.396 million STRV. However, the U.S. beet sugar production for FY 2025/26 is reduced from last month by about 5 percent, the lowest since 2020/21. 

The revision in beet sugar production is mainly d...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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