World Perspectives

Consumer Price Index and Employment Reports

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June CPI this morning. The CPI increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in June, after rising 0.1 percent in May. The CPI is at its highest since January of this year. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment, after rising 2.4 percent over the 12 months ending May. The core CPI, including all-items less food and energy, rose 2.9 percent over the last 12 months. The energy index decreased 0.8 percent for the 12 months ending June, while the food index increased 3 percent over the last 12 months. Three of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased in June, while the other three declined. The index for nonalcoholic...

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The big move at the CBOT Tuesday was a 1¾-cent gain in December corn futures – which isn’t much but that the development followed Monday’s bullish reversal is. The strength in new crop corn defies much of the fundamental outlook and suggests traders are sensing somethin...

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Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.38/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0175/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $279.5/short ton, down $2...

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First quarter global merchandise trade accelerated faster than expected as everyone expedited purchases ahead of tariffs and potential slowing of import demand. These market exchanges have likely remained accelerated ahead of the now 1 August tariff deadline, but increased costs were apparent i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Reversal Continues; Weather, Conditions Ratings Sink Soybeans

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Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.38/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0175/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $279.5/short ton, down $2...

Trade War Dynamics

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins abandoned their two-week streak of positive numbers and fell $102/head last week to -$47. The move was expected as the Choice cutout was steady/weaker across the week while fed cattle prices jumped $8-10/cwt higher. The weaker margins are still not as bad as recent history,...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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