Key Takeaways:
Corn and soybean meal markets are tightening together for the first time in more than a year, driven by lower U.S. yield expectations and continued Chinese soybean demand. A strong El Niño is replacing last year’s La Niña, shifting crop risk across the Americas through a slower U.S. harvest, weaker Brazilian corn prospects, and a stronger Argentine soybean outlook. U.S. dairy margins are narrowing as global feed costs rise, with DMC payments expected from August through December 2026 and the program’s lagged feed-cost formula likely understating near-term pressure. The production-cost gap of more than $20/cwt between the smallest and largest U.S. dairy farms is likely to widen because larger operati...
What You Need to Know Today: USDA cut the 2026 corn yield forecast by 1.6 BPA to 179.6, shaving 141 Mbu off the crop. Corn ending stocks were cut by 91 Mbu to a level that pushed the ending stocks-to-use (ESU) ratio to 10.8 percent. Conversely, USDA raised the soybean yield forecast 0.2 BPA to...
Key Takeaways: Expanding U.S. soybean crushing capacity is strengthening domestic demand, driven largely by growing soyoil consumption from the renewable diesel and biofuels industries. Despite increased domestic processing, substantial quantities of U.S. soybeans are expected to remain availa...
