The International Grains Council recently increased its forecast for global flour trade by 11 percent to 16.1 MMT, though that would still be a decline of 4 percent from 2023/24. Turkey dominates the global trade in flour, with some saying it does so in an unfair manner. Kazakhstan is the other major supplier. Historically, governments even in poorer nations invest in a national airline for prestige, and in flour mills to create domestic value-added jobs. Over the past 35 years, U.S. wheat exports have declined 174 percent, but flour shipments have declined more. Exports were more than 7 percent of U.S. flour production 35 years ago. Today, less than one percent of U.S. flour production makes it into the export market, and what is ex...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...
Key Takeaways: Drought remains a major threat to global agricultural production, particularly in regions with limited rainfall and growing water scarcity. Commercially available drought-tolerant traits in corn, soybeans, and wheat have generally delivered modest yield improvements, limiting th...
Key Takeaways: Peace at last in the Persian Gulf? Over the weekend, the U.S. announced and Iranian officials confirmed a peace agreement, with formal ratification set for Geneva on 19 June. The announcement means the Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen fully and toll-free within 30 days.&n...