This week's Export Sales report from USDA offers insight into the grain market's likely price pattern going forward. Based on historic export patterns, U.S. exporters are facing a situation different from last year. Similarly, soybean sales point to changing opportunities for those in the oilseed industry. There appears to be little doubt the USDA will have to increase the corn and soybean export sales estimates in next Thursday's (10 May) WASDE revisions. Export sales to China have continued to pour in over the past few weeks. The table below is an update on China's corn and soybean purchases from the U.S. for the current marketing year. There are two important numbers here:

Even though total old crop soybean sales commitments to Chin...