Last week’s Commitment of Traders (COT) report confirmed that funds (i.e., managed money) continued to expand their short positions in corn, soybeans, soymeal and wheat to either record-large levels or very nearly so. They had very little opposition to pressing the short side before last Friday’s USDA WASDE, and that report simply added a little more fuel to the short-side fire by reducing the U.S. wheat and corn export forecasts. The wheat market has been especially bearish over the last month. The Chicago March wheat contract has declined nearly a $1.00/bushel since 14 February.
Chicago wheat futures are now within 10-20 cents/bushel of the prices they’ve traded at since 2010, which is a remarkable collapse no matter...
What You Need to Know Today: As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75–4.00 percent, its first rate increase since 2023, as policymakers respond to persistent inflation pressures. The Fed also signaled that additi...
Key Takeaways: USDA data access is equal; the ability to use it is not. Larger operations can afford experts who turn public reports into business decisions. Analytical capacity is the true advantage. Forecasts matter only when converted into profit, purchasing, and risk-management decisions...
Russian Grain Markets: 7–11 September 2026 During the first week of September, the Russian grain market remained volatile but predominantly bearish. Among the few commodities that continued to show a bullish trend was rye, which is in short supply this year and has few offers available. I...
