World Perspectives
energy

Implications of Bearish Trend

Agricultural commodity prices may still rally on crop failures, but there are plenty of other fundamentals providing a bearish outlook (see table below). With commodity prices softening and yet volume deemed growing, some commodity trading houses reportedly are buying physical assets.This could have several impacts on policy issues being debated in 2013 including: The role of the speculator may be less important even as the House Agriculture Committee announces it will hold oversight hearings on the continuing battle on position limits and speculation in energy futures markets. The food versus fuel fight will be tempered while debating the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS). Reauthorizing the farm bill will take on more importance, to bo...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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